The US Labour Market: How Much Slack Remains? Staff Analytical Note 2016-9 Robert Fay, James Ketcheson Despite the US unemployment rate being close to estimates of the non-accelerating-inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), measures of underemployment remain elevated, which could be an indication of remaining labour market slack. The shares of involuntary part-time workers and long-term unemployment are high relative to the current stage of the business cycle, suggesting available labour inputs are being underutilized. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): International topics, Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, J, J2, J21, J23
July 13, 2016 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Carolyn A. Wilkins, Stephen S. Poloz Ottawa, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Exchange rates, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments
June 15, 2016 The Canadian Economy: A Progress Report Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Yukon Chamber of Commerce Whitehorse, Yukon Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about the outlook for Canada’s economy and the adjustment to lower resource prices. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments
April 26, 2016 A New Balance Point: Global Trade, Productivity and Economic Growth Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Investment Industry Association of Canada and Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association New York, New York Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about slowing international trade growth and the implications for productivity and the global economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Firm dynamics, International topics, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
April 13, 2016 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz, Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation, Recent economic and financial developments
March 30, 2016 Adjusting to the Fall in Commodity Prices: One Step at a Time Remarks Lynn Patterson Edmonton Chamber of Commerce Edmonton, Alberta Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses how the Canadian economy is adjusting to the fall in commodity prices. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments
February 24, 2016 Connecting the Dots: Elevated Household Debt and the Risk to Financial Stability Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Guelph Chamber of Commerce Guelph, Ontario Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses household debt, the risk it poses to financial stability and the role of the Bank of Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet
What Is Behind the Weakness in Global Investment? Staff Discussion Paper 2016-5 Maxime Leboeuf, Robert Fay The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining developments in non-residential private business investment in large advanced economies since the crisis. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Domestic demand and components, Economic models, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, D8, D80, D84, E, E2, E22, F, F0, F01, G, G3, G31
January 20, 2016 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Ottawa, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments
Extending the Labour Market Indicator to the Canadian Provinces Staff Discussion Paper 2016-2 Alexander Fritsche, Katherine Ragan Calculating the labour market indicator (LMI) at the provincial level provides useful insights into Canada’s regional economies and reveals differing trends in the state of underlying labour market conditions across provinces. Conclusions based on the Canadian LMI do not necessarily translate to the provinces. In most cases, the correlations between the provincial LMIs and the underlying labour market variables have the expected sign. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E27, J, J2, J21, J23