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397 Results

May 25, 2020

Monetary policy in unknowable times

Lecture Stephen S. Poloz Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture University of Alberta Edmonton, Alberta
Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of the way the Bank takes a risk-management approach in the conduct of monetary policy, and what this implies for the recovery from the pandemic.

Scenario Analysis and the Economic and Financial Risks from Climate Change

Staff Discussion Paper 2020-3 Erik Ens, Craig Johnston
This paper adapts climate-economy models that have been applied in other contexts for use in climate-related scenario analysis. We consider illustrative scenarios for the global economy that could generate economic and financial risks. Our results suggest there are significant economic risks from climate change and the move to a low-carbon economy.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Climate change, Economic models, Financial stability, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C6, C68, D, D5, D58, E, E5, E50, O, O4, O44, P, P1, P18, Q, Q4, Q5, Q54, Q55
January 30, 2020

How vulnerabilities like debt can affect interest rates

Speech summary Paul Beaudry Laval University Québec, Québec
Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry explains to students at Laval University why financial vulnerabilities—such as household debt—are important for the Bank of Canada when it sets interest rates.

Managing GDP Tail Risk

Staff Working Paper 2020-3 Thibaut Duprey, Alexander Ueberfeldt
Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs.
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