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378 Results

What Consistent Responses on Future Inflation by Consumers Can Reveal

Staff discussion paper 2023-7 Sarah Miller, Patrick Sabourin
We analyze factors that may explain consistent answers to questions about inflation expectations in the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations. We also compare the inflation forecasts of consumers with consistent responses with those of professional forecasters.
June 21, 2009

Financial System Review - June 2009

Financial System Review - June 2009

Policy-makers around the world met the intensification of the global financial crisis at the end of 2008 with a forceful response aimed at restoring confidence in the global financial system, promoting the flow of credit, and supporting economic activity.

FSR Highlights - June 2009

Erratum: Legends for Chart 13 on page 15 of the June 2009 issue should read: Argentina (right scale), Mexico (left scale). See revised chart.

Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk Adjustments?

Staff working paper 2019-11 Klaus Adam, Dmitry Matveev, Stefan Nagel
Motivated by the observation that survey expectations of stock returns are inconsistent with rational return expectations under real-world probabilities, we investigate whether alternative expectations hypotheses entertained in the literature on asset pricing are consistent with the survey evidence.

Shaping the future: Policy shocks and the GDP growth distribution

Can central bank and government policies impact the risks around the outlook for GDP growth? We find that fiscal stimulus makes strong GDP growth more likely—even more so when monetary policy is constrained—rather than weak GDP growth less likely. Thus, fiscal stimulus should accelerate the recovery phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Ecology of Automated Market Makers

Staff discussion paper 2024-12 Annetta Ho, Cosmin Cazan, Andrew Schrumm
This paper describes the ecology of automated market makers, which are the most popular decentralized exchange model for the pricing and trading of crypto assets within decentralized finance.

Information Contagion and Systemic Risk

Staff working paper 2017-29 Co-Pierre Georg, Toni Ahnert
We examine the effect of ex-post information contagion on the ex-ante level of systemic risk defined as the probability of joint bank default.
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