June 30, 2023 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Second Quarter of 2023 Inflation expectations for one to two years ahead have come down again but remain well above their levels from before the COVID-19 pandemic. The higher cost of living is the most pressing concern for consumers, and along with elevated interest rates, continues to constrain most households’ spending. Homeowners who are planning to renew their mortgage over the next two years and who expect significantly higher payments are likely to plan spending cuts. Some households though are starting to think the worst is behind them. Consumer confidence about the future of the economy has improved alongside their lower inflation expectations. Expected lower interest rates and strong immigration, which boosts housing demand, are behind consumers’ view that housing market will increase over the next year. Workers remain confident about jobs. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
June 16, 2021 Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement Tiff Macklem Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
July 10, 2006 Workshop on Commodity Price Issues Conference held on 10 and 11 July 2006 (papers in unedited, electronic format only) Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
May 11, 2000 Monetary Policy Report – May 2000 The global economy has shown greater strength than was anticipated at the time of the November Report. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
Un modèle du coût du financement et du ratio d'endettement des entreprises non financières Technical Report No. 61 Jean-François Fillion The main aim of this paper is to calculate the cost of financing for Canadian non-financial businesses and to develop a model to explain financing cost trends on the basis of selected macroeconomic variables. The model described herein is a system based on four equations: one for the real after-tax cost of financing; one for […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Research Topic(s): Economic models
Potential output in Canada: 2020 reassessment Staff Analytical Note 2020-25 Dany Brouillette, Julien Champagne, Julien McDonald-Guimond After COVID-19, we expect potential output growth to stabilize around 1.2 percent. This is lower than the 2010–18 average growth of 1.8 percent. Relative to the April 2019 reassessment, the growth profile is revised down. Given the unknown course of the pandemic, uncertainty around these estimates is higher than in previous years. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E0, E00, E2, E23, E24, E3, E37, E6
Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models Staff Discussion Paper 2022-19 James Younker This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C02, C1, C13, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53
April 4, 2006 Bank of Canada to Upgrade $5 Bank Note Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it will issue a $5 note with upgraded security features beginning 15 November 2006 as part of its ongoing effort to improve the security of Canadian bank notes. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 27, 2021 Labour market recovery from COVID‑19 COVID-19 has emphasized the complexity and diversity of the labour market – and the need to look at a broad range of measures to assess labour market health. View the indicators that track the recovery of the labour market from COVID-19.
June 26, 2024 CFIF-BATVN publishes an educational primer on Canadian Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Canadian money markets are undergoing a significant change due to the disappearance of Bankers Acceptances (BAs). BAs will no longer be issued by the major Canadian banks after the cessation of the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate’s (CDOR) publication on June 28, 2024. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum