Unit-Root Tests and Excess Returns Staff Working Paper 1996-10 Marie-Josée Godbout, Simon van Norden Several recent papers have presented evidence from foreign exchange and other markets suggesting that the log of excess returns can be characterized as first-order integrated processes (I(1)). This contrasts sharply with the "conventional" wisdom that log prices are integrated of order one I(1) and that log returns should therefore be integrated of order zero I(0), and even more sharply with the view that past returns have no ability to predict future returns (weak market efficiency). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, F, F3, F31
November 14, 2000 Conference Summary: Money, Monetary Policy, and Transmission Mechanisms Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2000 Kevin Clinton, Walter Engert This article summarizes the proceedings of a conference hosted by the Bank of Canada in November 1999. Three major themes emerged at the conference. The first concerned uncertainty about the transmission mechanism by which monetary policy affects output and inflation. The second concerned the potential usefulness of monetary aggregates in guiding the economy along a stable non-inflationary growth path. The third was the recent developments in dynamic monetary general-equilibrium models. The work presented suggests that a wide range of models is useful for understanding the various paths by which monetary policy actions might influence the economy. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Research Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy and uncertainty
March 31, 2021 Toward 2021: Consultations with Canadians (March 2021) In 2021, the Bank of Canada and the federal government renewed the agreement on Canada’s monetary policy framework. To inform our discussions, the Bank conducted a broad range of public outreach activities between 2019 and 2021. This report summarizes our findings.
April 5, 2012 Annual Report 2011 2011 was a challenging year for the global economy. Amid global turbulence, Canada’s macroeconomic policy framework has stood us well. The 2011 Annual Report provides a Message from the Governor, highlights key achievements over the year, describes the Bank’s corporate governance, and presents financial statements in conjunction with Management’s Discussion and Analysis. Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
March 23, 2021 Market stress relief: The role of the Bank of Canada’s balance sheet Remarks (delivered virtually) Toni Gravelle CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses actions taken by the Bank of Canada to respond to market-wide stresses during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Bank’s role as lender of last resort in the financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Lender of last resort, Monetary policy
November 16, 2020 Bank of Canada and OSFI launch pilot project on climate risk scenarios Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada and the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) today announced plans for a pilot project to use climate-change scenarios to better understand the risks to the financial system related to a transition to a low-carbon economy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
February 9, 2017 Getting to the Core of Inflation Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Department of Economics, Western University London, Ontario Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the uses and measures of core inflation in the conduct of monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
July 28, 1997 Bank of Canada Releases Interim Report on Wartime Gold Transactions Media Relations The Bank of Canada today released an interim report on the results of a search for records relating to wartime gold transactions. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
November 4, 2014 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Good morning, Mr. Chairman and committee members. I am pleased to introduce you to Carolyn Wilkins, who assumed the post of Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada on 2 May of this year. Before we take your questions, let me give you some of the highlights of the economic outlook. I’ll draw mainly […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
Clearing and Settlement Systems from Around the World: A Qualitative Analysis Staff Discussion Paper 2016-14 Michael Tompkins, Ariel Olivares As Canada continues to engage in a dialogue to develop the approach to modernizing its core payment systems, we analyze the core payment systems that exist in countries around the world. We study payment systems in 27 jurisdictions, encompassing a broad range of geographic regions, through three levels of analysis. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Financial services, Financial system regulation and policies, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, L, L1, L14, L15, L5, L52