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2997 Results

An Improved Equation for Predicting Canadian Non-Commodity Exports

Staff Discussion Paper 2017-1 Patrick Alexander, Jean-Philippe Cayen, Alex Proulx
We estimate two new equations for Canadian non-commodity exports (NCX) that incorporate three important changes relative to the current equation used at the Bank of Canada.

Idiosyncratic Coskewness and Equity Return Anomalies

Staff Working Paper 2010-11 Fousseni Chabi-Yo, Jun Yang
In this paper, we show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on the idiosyncratic coskewness beta, which measures the co-movement of the individual stock variance and the market return.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11, G12, G14, G3, G33

Quantum Monte Carlo for Economics: Stress Testing and Macroeconomic Deep Learning

Using the quantum Monte Carlo algorithm, we study whether quantum computing can improve the run time of economic applications and challenges in doing so. We apply the algorithm to two models: a stress testing bank model and a DSGE model solved with deep learning. We also present innovations in the algorithm and benchmark it to classical Monte Carlo.
October 6, 2016

Economic Trends and Monetary Policy

Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières Trois-Rivières, Quebec
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins talks about the major trends of the Canadian economy and how they affect monetary policy.

Price Discounts and Cheapflation During the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge

Staff Working Paper 2024-31 Alberto Cavallo, Oleksiy Kryvtsov
We study how price variation within a store changes with inflation, and whether households exploit these changes to reduce the burden of inflation. We find that price changes from discounts mitigated the inflation burden while cheapflation exacerbated it.

Can the Canadian International Investment Position Stabilize a Slowing Economy?

Staff Analytical Note 2017-14 Maxime Leboeuf, Chen Fan
In this note, we find that valuation effects can act as an important stabilizer, strengthening Canada’s net external wealth when its economic outlook worsens relative to that of other countries.

Monetary Policy Tradeoffs Between Financial Stability and Price Stability

Staff Working Paper 2016-49 Malik Shukayev, Alexander Ueberfeldt
We analyze the impact of interest rate policy on financial stability in an environment where banks can experience runs on their short-term liabilities, forcing them to sell assets at fire-sale prices.

Forecasting Inflation and the Inflation Risk Premiums Using Nominal Yields

Staff Working Paper 2012-37 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine
We provide a decomposition of nominal yields into real yields, expectations of future inflation and inflation risk premiums when real bonds or inflation swaps are unavailable or unreliable due to their relative illiquidity.

Classical Decomposition of Markowitz Portfolio Selection

Staff Working Paper 2020-21 Christopher Demone, Olivia Di Matteo, Barbara Collignon
In this study, we enhance Markowitz portfolio selection with graph theory for the analysis of two portfolios composed of either EU or US assets. Using a threshold-based decomposition of their respective covariance matrices, we perturb the level of risk in each portfolio and build the corresponding sets of graphs.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Central bank research JEL Code(s): C, C0, C02
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