November 7, 2011 Renewal of the Inflation-Control Target (November 2011) Commentary and technical data relating to the 2011 target renewal. Content Type(s): Background materials Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Monetary policy
Regime-Switching Models: A Guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures Staff Working Paper 1996-3 Simon van Norden, Robert Vigfusson This paper is a user's guide to a set of Gauss procedures developed at the Bank of Canada for estimating regime-switching models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C6, C63
An Evaluation of Core Inflation Measures Staff Working Paper 2006-10 Jamie Armour The author provides a statistical evaluation of various measures of core inflation for Canada. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31
March 28, 2011 The “Great” Recession in Canada: Perception vs. Reality Remarks Jean Boivin Montréal CFA Society Montréal, Quebec Barely three years ago, the financial crisis was a source of major concern worldwide. This unprecedented event had serious and costly repercussions, which we continue to feel today. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
A Modified P*-Model of Inflation Based on M1 Staff Working Paper 1996-15 Joseph Atta-Mensah This paper examines the performance of M1 in an indicator-model of inflation over time horizons as long as 16 quarters into the future. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): E, E3, E37
February 17, 2011 Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2010-2011 This issue features a summary of the Bank’s annual conference, which this year dealt with financial globalization, and three articles that present research by Bank staff on Canada’s mortgage market, the role of adverse selection in financial crises, and payment networks. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
June 15, 2008 Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2008 Cover page Chinese Coin Charms The charms on the cover are part of the National Currency Collection of the Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
Why Canada Needs a Flexible Exchange Rate Staff Working Paper 1999-12 John Murray This paper explores the arguments for and against a common currency for Canada and the United States and attempts to determine whether such an arrangement would offer any significant advantages for Canada compared with the present flexible exchange rate system. The paper first reviews the theoretical arguments advanced in the economics literature in support of fixed and flexible currency arrangements. A discussion of Canada's past experience with the two exchange rate systems follows, after which there is a survey of the empirical evidence published on Canada's current and prospective suitability for some form of fixed currency arrangement with the United States. The final section of the paper examines critically a number of concerns raised about the behaviour of the current flexible exchange rate system. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31
May 19, 2011 Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2011 This special issue of the Review, “Lessons from the Financial Crisis,” examines the recent research on the role of liquidity in the financial system and on the public policy responses that aimed to restore stability to the financial system during the crisis and to foster economic recovery. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
Indicator Models of Core Inflation for Canada Staff Working Paper 1999-13 Richard Dion When there is uncertainty about estimates of the margin of unused capacity in the economy, examining a range of inflation indicators may help in assessing the balance of risks regarding the outlook for inflation. This paper tests a wide range of observable variables for their leading-indicator properties with respect to core inflation, including: commodity prices, […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E37