The neutral rate in Canada: 2020 update Staff analytical note 2020-24 Dmitry Matveev, Julien McDonald-Guimond, Rodrigo Sekkel The neutral rate of interest is important for central banks because it helps measure the stance of monetary policy. We present updated estimates of the neutral rate in Canada using the most recent data. We expect the COVID-19 pandemic to significantly affect the fundamental drivers of the Canadian neutral rate. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E4, E40, E43, E5, E50, E52, E58, F, F4, F41 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
May 11, 2000 Monetary Policy Report – May 2000 The global economy has shown greater strength than was anticipated at the time of the November Report. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 16, 2020 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I welcome the opportunity to appear before you to discuss the Bank’s policy actions in response to the coronavirus pandemic, as well as our Monetary Policy Report (MPR), which we published yesterday. The Canadian economy is experiencing a significant and rapid contraction. The […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation targeting framework
November 18, 2013 Risk Management and Financial Reform Remarks Tiff Macklem Autorité des marchés financiers Montréal, Quebec Senior Deputy Governor Tiff Macklem discusses risk management and global financial reform. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
October 13, 2004 Bank of Canada Unveils New $50 Bank Note Media Relations Calgary, Alberta The Bank of Canada today unveiled Canada's new $50 bank note, the theme of which is Nation Building: shaping the political, legal, and social structures for democracy and equality. The new note was unveiled at a ceremony in Calgary, Alberta by the Honourable Senator Joyce Fairbairn and David Dodge, Governor of the Bank of Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
April 20, 2026 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—First Quarter of 2026 Results of the first-quarter 2026 survey, conducted before the war in the Middle East, show that concerns about high prices and economic uncertainty continue to weigh on consumers’ spending plans. Even so, consumers, particularly those working in trade-sensitive sectors, became less negative about spending than in the previous quarter, and the CSCE indicator rose slightly reflecting this improvement in spending plans. Concerns about job losses remain elevated and increased among workers in sectors where artificial intelligence poses a greater risk of task replacement. Results of a special survey conducted after the war in the Middle East began suggest that most households expect the conflict to weaken the Canadian economy and raise prices. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
December 14, 2009 Reform of Securitization Financial System Review - December 2009 Jack Selody, Elizabeth Woodman Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles
Alternative Scenario to the October 2017 MPR Base-Case Projection: Higher Potential Growth Staff analytical note 2017-18 Jing Yang, Ben Tomlin, Olivier Gervais We construct an alternative scenario in which trend labour input and business investment are stronger than that expected in the Bank of Canada’s base-case projection in the October 2017 Monetary Policy Report. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E24, E27, E5 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
August 12, 1999 Recent Developments in Global Commodity Prices: Implications for Canada Bank of Canada Review - Summer 1999 Farid Novin, Gerald Stuber The authors examine the recent evolution of commodity prices. They discuss the factors behind the price declines that occurred between the summer of 1997 and the end of 1998, including the key supply factors and the drop in Asian demand caused by that region's concurrent financial and economic crisis. They then review the effects of the reduction in world commodity prices on economic activity in Canada. They point out that the depreciation of the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar, together with the continued strength of the U.S. economy, has partly offset the negative effects on Canadian aggregate demand. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
January 25, 2012 Reforming the Credit-Rating Process Financial System Review - December 2007 Mark Zelmer Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles