November 5, 2013 Transitioning to More Balanced and Sustainable Growth Remarks John Murray Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco San Francisco, California Deputy Governor John Murray discusses transitioning to more stable and balanced economic growth in the global economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Potential output in Canada: 2024 assessment Staff analytical note 2024-11 Tessa Devakos, Christopher Hajzler, Stéphanie Houle, Craig Johnston, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Ron Rautu, Temel Taskin We expect that potential output in Canada will grow by 2.3% and 2.5% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, and average slightly below 1.7% by 2027 as population growth moderates. Relative to the April 2023 assessment, growth is revised up in 2024, with a larger contribution from trend labour input due to higher-than-anticipated population growth. We revise down our estimates of growth over 2025–26. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply, Digitalization and productivity
November 23, 2021 CARR publishes CORRA-related recommendations and key findings in its review of CDOR The Canadian Alternative Reference Rate working group (CARR) today published a set of recommendations aimed at facilitating the widespread use of the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA) in the Canadian financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
January 23, 2002 Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2002 In the November Monetary Policy Report, the timing and extent of the recovery in economic activity in Canada this year was seen as depending crucially on geopolitical developments and on how quickly consumer and business confidence would return to normal. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
December 16, 2021 CARR publishes White Paper on the recommended future of CDOR In October 2020, the Canadian Alternative Reference Rate (CARR) working group was tasked with analyzing the current status of the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate (CDOR) and to make recommendations based on that analysis. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
September 29, 2004 Bank of Canada Issues New $20 Bank Notes Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario "The $20 bank note is the most widely used note," said Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge. "It accounts for almost half of all bank notes in circulation, which is why we encourage Canadians to become familiar with its design and security features. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models Staff discussion paper 2022-19 James Younker This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C02, C1, C13, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
Core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic Staff analytical note 2022-17 Mikael Khan, Elyse Sullivan We assess the usefulness of various measures of core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that Cpi-trim and CPI-median provided the best signal of underlying inflation. The favourable performance of these measures stems from their lack of reliance on historical experience, an especially valuable feature in unprecedented times. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C1, C18, E, E3, E31 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
January 8, 2008 Transparency: The More, The Better? Remarks Sheryl Kennedy Association des femmes en finance du Québec Montréal, Quebec Transparency is the cornerstone of a well-functioning financial system. It's an issue that has been getting a lot of attention, and deservedly so, as we consider what has gone wrong in the market for asset-backed commercial paper. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Forecasting Banks’ Corporate Loan Losses Under Stress: A New Corporate Default Model Technical report No. 122 Gabriel Bruneau, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C52, C53, G, G1, G17, G2, G21, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Models and tools, Economic models