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2191 Results

September 11, 2009

Bank of Canada Liquidity Actions in Response to the Financial Market Turmoil

In response to the financial crisis of 2007-09, the Bank of Canada intervened repeatedly to stabilize the financial system and limit the repercussions of the crisis on the Canadian economy. This article reviews the extraordinary liquidity measures taken by the Bank during this period and the principles that guided the Bank's interventions. A preliminary assessment of the term liquidity facilities provided by the Bank suggests that they were an important source of liquidity support for some financial institutions and, on a broader basis, served to reduce uncertainty among market participants about the availability of liquidity, as well as helping to promote a return to well-functioning money markets.
October 19, 2026

Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Third Quarter of 2026

Results of the third-quarter 2026 survey show that consumers’ long-term inflation expectations rose to match elevated shorter-term expectations. Consumers continued to cite trade tensions and energy prices as key sources of inflation. Expectations at all horizons moved higher following the breakdown of trade talks between Canada and the United States. Before trade talks broke down, the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (CSCE) indicator edged higher, reflecting improvements in consumers’ views of their financial health. Consumers cited gains in financial asset values and greater confidence in the labour market as reasons for these improved views of financial health. Workers’ perceptions of the labour market moved closer to their survey average. Perceptions improved among workers more exposed to trade with the United States but deteriorated among workers in sectors where artificial intelligence poses a higher risk of task replacement. At the same time, spending plans deteriorated from already weak levels as high prices and economic uncertainty continue to weigh on consumers.

Forecasting Banks’ Corporate Loan Losses Under Stress: A New Corporate Default Model

Technical report No. 122 Gabriel Bruneau, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp
We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress.

Potential output in Canada: 2024 assessment

We expect that potential output in Canada will grow by 2.3% and 2.5% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, and average slightly below 1.7% by 2027 as population growth moderates. Relative to the April 2023 assessment, growth is revised up in 2024, with a larger contribution from trend labour input due to higher-than-anticipated population growth. We revise down our estimates of growth over 2025–26.
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