February 16, 2022 Expecting the unexpected: Central bank decision making in turbulent times Remarks (delivered virtually) Timothy Lane School of Public Policy, University of Calgary Calgary, Alberta Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Tim Lane discusses how the Bank responds to uncertainty in turbulent times. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
January 23, 2002 Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2002 In the November Monetary Policy Report, the timing and extent of the recovery in economic activity in Canada this year was seen as depending crucially on geopolitical developments and on how quickly consumer and business confidence would return to normal. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
What Is Behind the Weakness in Global Investment? Staff discussion paper 2016-5 Maxime Leboeuf, Robert Fay The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining developments in non-residential private business investment in large advanced economies since the crisis. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, D8, D80, D84, E, E2, E22, F, F0, F01, G, G3, G31 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
Canada’s Beveridge curve and the outlook for the labour market Staff analytical note 2022-18 Alexander Lam Canada’s labour market is tight but beginning to ease. Unemployment will likely rise in turn, but the economy can avoid a recessionary surge given current conditions. Higher unemployment would nonetheless be material, especially for those directly impacted. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, J, J2, J20, J6, J63, J64 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
October 7, 2021 The long and short of it: A balanced vision for the international monetary and financial system Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Council on Foreign Relations Washington, D.C. Governor Tiff Macklem advocates for global coordination to strengthen the international monetary and financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth
December 16, 2021 CARR publishes White Paper on the recommended future of CDOR In October 2020, the Canadian Alternative Reference Rate (CARR) working group was tasked with analyzing the current status of the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate (CDOR) and to make recommendations based on that analysis. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
June 16, 2021 Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement Tiff Macklem Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models Staff discussion paper 2022-19 James Younker This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C02, C1, C13, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
November 20, 1995 Monetary Policy Report – November 1995 This is the second in a series of semi-annual reports designed to increase the transparency and understanding of Canadian monetary policy. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
January 16, 2023 CFIF publishes White Paper on the impact of CDOR cessation on Bankers’ Acceptance market With the cessation of Canadian Dollar Offer Rate’s (CDOR) publication in June 2024, it is expected that Bankers’ Acceptance (BA) will cease to exist as a money market instrument. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum