What Is Behind the Weakness in Global Investment? Staff discussion paper 2016-5 Maxime Leboeuf, Robert Fay The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining developments in non-residential private business investment in large advanced economies since the crisis. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, D8, D80, D84, E, E2, E22, F, F0, F01, G, G3, G31 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
Forecasting Banks’ Corporate Loan Losses Under Stress: A New Corporate Default Model Technical report No. 122 Gabriel Bruneau, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C52, C53, G, G1, G17, G2, G21, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Models and tools, Economic models
June 26, 2024 CFIF-BATVN publishes an educational primer on Canadian Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Canadian money markets are undergoing a significant change due to the disappearance of Bankers Acceptances (BAs). BAs will no longer be issued by the major Canadian banks after the cessation of the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate’s (CDOR) publication on June 28, 2024. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum
January 23, 2002 Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2002 In the November Monetary Policy Report, the timing and extent of the recovery in economic activity in Canada this year was seen as depending crucially on geopolitical developments and on how quickly consumer and business confidence would return to normal. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
December 16, 2021 CARR publishes White Paper on the recommended future of CDOR In October 2020, the Canadian Alternative Reference Rate (CARR) working group was tasked with analyzing the current status of the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate (CDOR) and to make recommendations based on that analysis. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
September 9, 2021 Economic progress report: Monetary policy for the recovery Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Fédération des chambres de commerce du Québec Montréal, Quebec Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and discusses how the Bank could adjust monetary policy and its quantitative easing program as the recovery progresses. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Currency, Bank notes, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
October 7, 2021 The long and short of it: A balanced vision for the international monetary and financial system Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Council on Foreign Relations Washington, D.C. Governor Tiff Macklem advocates for global coordination to strengthen the international monetary and financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth
November 20, 2020 Financial System Survey highlights—November 2020 This article presents the key results from the autumn 2020 Bank of Canada Financial System Survey, conducted from September 8 to September 25, 2020. The survey included a special section on the impact of and the responses to COVID-19. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Survey
November 20, 1995 Monetary Policy Report – November 1995 This is the second in a series of semi-annual reports designed to increase the transparency and understanding of Canadian monetary policy. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models Staff discussion paper 2022-19 James Younker This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C02, C1, C13, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting