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2166 Results

August 21, 2007

Bank of Canada sees joint commitment by major Bank CEOs on bank-sponsored asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) as positive step

The Bank of Canada continues to monitor the functioning of Canada's financial markets and to make liquidity available as required. The commitment by Canada's major bank CEO's to work together to support the performance and liquidity of the market for bank-sponsored asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) is a further positive step to help re-establish well functioning […]
Content Type(s): Press, Press releases

Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models

Staff discussion paper 2022-19 James Younker
This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models.

Core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic

Staff analytical note 2022-17 Mikael Khan, Elyse Sullivan
We assess the usefulness of various measures of core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that Cpi-trim and CPI-median provided the best signal of underlying inflation. The favourable performance of these measures stems from their lack of reliance on historical experience, an especially valuable feature in unprecedented times.

Forecasting Banks’ Corporate Loan Losses Under Stress: A New Corporate Default Model

Technical report No. 122 Gabriel Bruneau, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp
We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress.
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