August 25, 2020 Our COVID-19 response: Large-scale asset purchases Paul Beaudry The Bank of Canada has taken many actions to support Canadians since the COVID-19 pandemic struck. These include large-scale asset purchases—buying a substantial amount of government bonds and other financial assets. Our purchases serve two purposes. They help key financial markets work properly, and they can help increase spending in the economy. This leads to more employment and stronger economic growth. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation targeting framework
November 20, 1995 Monetary Policy Report – November 1995 This is the second in a series of semi-annual reports designed to increase the transparency and understanding of Canadian monetary policy. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
August 21, 2007 Bank of Canada sees joint commitment by major Bank CEOs on bank-sponsored asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) as positive step Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada continues to monitor the functioning of Canada's financial markets and to make liquidity available as required. The commitment by Canada's major bank CEO's to work together to support the performance and liquidity of the market for bank-sponsored asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) is a further positive step to help re-establish well functioning […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
December 12, 2019 Big Issues Ahead: The Bank’s 2020 Vision Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Empire Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses how long-term global economic forces will drive the Bank of Canada’s work agenda in 2020 and beyond. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation targeting framework
Canada’s Beveridge curve and the outlook for the labour market Staff analytical note 2022-18 Alexander Lam Canada’s labour market is tight but beginning to ease. Unemployment will likely rise in turn, but the economy can avoid a recessionary surge given current conditions. Higher unemployment would nonetheless be material, especially for those directly impacted. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, J, J2, J20, J6, J63, J64 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
September 9, 2021 Economic progress report: Monetary policy for the recovery Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Fédération des chambres de commerce du Québec Montréal, Quebec Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and discusses how the Bank could adjust monetary policy and its quantitative easing program as the recovery progresses. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Currency, Bank notes, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
November 19, 2008 Governor Carney says the global financial system needs continuously open markets Media Relations London, United Kingdom In order to achieve a full recovery, the global financial system must have continuously open markets at its core, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney argued today in a speech to the Canada – United Kingdom Chamber of Commerce. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Forecasting Banks’ Corporate Loan Losses Under Stress: A New Corporate Default Model Technical report No. 122 Gabriel Bruneau, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C52, C53, G, G1, G17, G2, G21, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Models and tools, Economic models
Calculating Effective Degrees of Freedom for Forecast Combinations and Ensemble Models Staff discussion paper 2022-19 James Younker This paper derives a calculation for the effective degrees of freedom of a forecast combination under a set of general conditions for linear models. Computing effective degrees of freedom shows that the complexity cost of a forecast combination is driven by the parameters in the weighting scheme and the weighted average of parameters in the auxiliary models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C02, C1, C13, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
Core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic Staff analytical note 2022-17 Mikael Khan, Elyse Sullivan We assess the usefulness of various measures of core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that Cpi-trim and CPI-median provided the best signal of underlying inflation. The favourable performance of these measures stems from their lack of reliance on historical experience, an especially valuable feature in unprecedented times. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C1, C18, E, E3, E31 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission