Do Firms’ Sales Expectations Hit the Mark? Evidence from the Business Leaders’ Pulse Staff discussion paper 2025-15 Owen Gaboury, Farrukh Suvankulov, Mathieu Utting We analyze Canadian data from the Bank of Canada’s Business Leaders’ Pulse, examining firms’ sales growth expectations. We find that expected growth predicts outcomes, uncertainty influences forecast errors and revisions, and firms with weak past performance anticipate and experience weaker future growth. These results highlight the survey’s value for understanding business expectations. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C8, C83, D, D2, D22 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
October 29, 2014 Opening Statement before the Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. I am pleased to introduce you to Carolyn Wilkins, who assumed the post of Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada on 2 May of this year. Before we take your questions, let me give you some of the highlights of the economic outlook. I’ll draw mainly […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
June 20, 2011 Canada’s New Polymer Bank Notes – Celebrating Canada’s Achievements at the Frontiers of Innovation Remarks Mark Carney Ottawa, Ontario Governor Mark Carney, with Minister of Finance James Flaherty and RCMP Commissioner William Elliott, unveils a new polymer bank note series. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
March 27, 2026 Financial stability indicators Get quarterly data for the indicators we use to track the evolution of the financial stability of the Canadian economy.
November 6, 2018 External academic consultants Meet the academic consultants and researchers from outside the Bank who are working with us.
May 30, 2024 Laying bare the evolution of payments in Canada Remarks Ron Morrow Payments Canada SUMMIT Toronto, Ontario Ron Morrow, Executive Director of Payments, Supervision and Oversight, talks about the evolution of payments in Canada, as well as the Bank’s new supervisory role for payment service providers. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Currency, Bank notes, Digital currency, Financial system, Financial stability, Fintech, Retail payments
Extending the Labour Market Indicator to the Canadian Provinces Staff discussion paper 2016-2 Alexander Fritsche, Katherine Ragan Calculating the labour market indicator (LMI) at the provincial level provides useful insights into Canada’s regional economies and reveals differing trends in the state of underlying labour market conditions across provinces. Conclusions based on the Canadian LMI do not necessarily translate to the provinces. In most cases, the correlations between the provincial LMIs and the underlying labour market variables have the expected sign. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E27, J, J2, J21, J23 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
Cryptoasset Ownership and Use in Canada: An Update for 2022 Staff discussion paper 2023-14 Daniela Balutel, Christopher Henry, Doina Rusu We find that Bitcoin ownership declined from 13% in 2021 to 10% in 2022. This drop occurred against a background of steep price declines and an increasingly tight regulatory atmosphere. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C8, C81, E, E4, O, O5, O51 Research Theme(s): Money and payments, Cash and bank notes, Digital assets and fintech
April 2017 Annual Reassessment of Potential Output Growth in Canada Staff analytical note 2017-5 Andrew Agopsowicz, Bassirou Gueye, Natalia Kyui, Youngmin Park, Mohanad Salameh, Ben Tomlin This note summarizes the Bank of Canada’s annual reassessment of potential output growth, conducted for the April 2017 Monetary Policy Report. Potential output growth is projected to increase from 1.3 per cent in 2017 to 1.6 per cent by 2020. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E0, E00, E2, E22, E23, E24, E3, E37, E6 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
November 8, 2006 The Canadian Economy and Financial Markets in Perspective Remarks David Longworth World Hedge Funds Summit Vaughan, Ontario The hedge fund industry has been growing so quickly that meetings like this one are welcome—they provide a chance to step back and look at context and trends. And that's what I propose to do this morning. Specifically, I'd like to speak about volatility in both the real economy and in financial markets and discuss how it has been affected by monetary policy and financial innovation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks