Do Firms’ Sales Expectations Hit the Mark? Evidence from the Business Leaders’ Pulse Staff discussion paper 2025-15 Owen Gaboury, Farrukh Suvankulov, Mathieu Utting We analyze Canadian data from the Bank of Canada’s Business Leaders’ Pulse, examining firms’ sales growth expectations. We find that expected growth predicts outcomes, uncertainty influences forecast errors and revisions, and firms with weak past performance anticipate and experience weaker future growth. These results highlight the survey’s value for understanding business expectations. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C8, C83, D, D2, D22 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
October 29, 2014 Opening Statement before the Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. I am pleased to introduce you to Carolyn Wilkins, who assumed the post of Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada on 2 May of this year. Before we take your questions, let me give you some of the highlights of the economic outlook. I’ll draw mainly […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
May 30, 2024 Laying bare the evolution of payments in Canada Remarks Ron Morrow Payments Canada SUMMIT Toronto, Ontario Ron Morrow, Executive Director of Payments, Supervision and Oversight, talks about the evolution of payments in Canada, as well as the Bank’s new supervisory role for payment service providers. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Currency, Bank notes, Digital currency, Financial system, Financial stability, Fintech, Retail payments supervision
January 30, 2004 Annual Report 2003 At the Bank of Canada, we have worked hard over the past several years to define our goals and our methods for achieving them. We have continued to strengthen our monetary policy framework, and we have established priorities in all areas of our operations to help us meet our strategic objectives. In 2002, the Bank set out a medium-term plan for the period 2003–05. The plan’s clearly defined policy frameworks and priorities were critical in guiding our analysis and our decisions in 2003, a year in which Canadians across the country were affected by a number of severe and unanticipated events. Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
June 27, 2018 Let Me Be Clear: From Transparency to Trust and Understanding Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia Governor Poloz talks about how the Bank is improving communications with the public and helping financial markets understand its monetary policy approach. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation targeting framework
May 30, 2017 Governor’s Award nominations Find out the eligibility and process for Governor’s Award nominations.
November 8, 2006 The Canadian Economy and Financial Markets in Perspective Remarks David Longworth World Hedge Funds Summit Vaughan, Ontario The hedge fund industry has been growing so quickly that meetings like this one are welcome—they provide a chance to step back and look at context and trends. And that's what I propose to do this morning. Specifically, I'd like to speak about volatility in both the real economy and in financial markets and discuss how it has been affected by monetary policy and financial innovation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
June 20, 2011 Canada’s New Polymer Bank Notes – Celebrating Canada’s Achievements at the Frontiers of Innovation Remarks Mark Carney Ottawa, Ontario Governor Mark Carney, with Minister of Finance James Flaherty and RCMP Commissioner William Elliott, unveils a new polymer bank note series. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
April 1, 2009 Rebuilding Confidence in the Global Economy Remarks Mark Carney Northwest Territories Chamber of Commerce and Yellowknife Chamber of Commerce Yellowknife, Northwest Territories These are very challenging times. The Canadian economy is in recession. The global economy is facing a crisis of confidence, triggered by the most severe financial meltdown since the Great Depression; fanned by sharp falls in trade, manufacturing output, and financial wealth; and intensified by steep increases in unemployment. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
August 24, 2011 The Role of the G-20 in Sustaining the Recovery and Protecting Financial Stability Remarks Tiff Macklem Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) and Indian Banks’ Association (IBA) Mumbai, India In his speech, Senior Deputy Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the G-20 reform agenda to achieve durable financial stability and sustainable and balanced economic growth. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks