Monetary Policy, Private Debt and Financial Stability Risks Staff working paper 2016-59 Gregory Bauer, Eleonora Granziera Can monetary policy be used to promote financial stability? We answer this question by estimating the impact of a monetary policy shock on private-sector leverage and the likelihood of a financial crisis. Impulse responses obtained from a panel VAR model of 18 advanced countries suggest that the debt-to-GDP ratio rises in the short run following an unexpected tightening in monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C21, C23, E, E5, E52, E58 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
Interaction of Macroprudential and Monetary Policies: Practice Ahead of Theory Staff discussion paper 2024-18 Thibaut Duprey, Yaz Terajima, Jing Yang We draw on the Canadian experience to examine how monetary and macroprudential policies interact and possibly complement each other in achieving their respective price and financial stability objectives. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E37, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61, G, G0, G01, G2, G21, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
December 27, 2005 Analyzing the Evolution of Financial Instability Risk Financial System Review - December 2005 Céline Gauthier, Pierre St-Amant Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles
Prudential Liquidity Regulation in Banking—A Literature Review Staff discussion paper 2018-8 Adi Mordel Prudential liquidity requirements are a relatively recent regulatory tool on the international front, introduced as part of the Basel III accord in the form of a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and a net stable funding ratio (NSFR). I first discuss the rationale for regulating bank liquidity by highlighting the market failures that it addresses while reviewing key theoretical contributions to the literature on the motivation for prudential liquidity regulation. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial institutions and intermediation, Financial stability and systemic risk, Financial system regulation and oversight
March 28, 2011 The “Great” Recession in Canada: Perception vs. Reality Remarks Jean Boivin Montréal CFA Society Montréal, Quebec Barely three years ago, the financial crisis was a source of major concern worldwide. This unprecedented event had serious and costly repercussions, which we continue to feel today. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Could a Higher Inflation Target Enhance Macroeconomic Stability? Staff working paper 2018-17 José Dorich, Nicholas Labelle, Vadym Lepetyuk, Rhys R. Mendes Recent international experience with the effective lower bound on nominal interest rates has rekindled interest in the benefits of inflation targets above 2 per cent. We evaluate whether an increase in the inflation target to 3 or 4 per cent could improve macroeconomic stability in the Canadian economy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E37, E4, E43, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
Canadians’ Access to Cash Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic Staff discussion paper 2022-15 Heng Chen, Marie-Hélène Felt This paper studies Canadians’ access to cash using the geographical distribution of automated banking machines (ABMs). During the pandemic, there have been no sustained adverse effects on cash accessibility. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): J, J1, J15, O, O1, R, R5, R51 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Money and payments, Cash and bank notes
November 16, 2021 Labour market uncertainties and monetary policy Remarks (delivered virtually) Lawrence L. Schembri Canadian Association for Business Economics Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri talks about changes to the labour market, and how the pandemic affected Canadian workers. He also discusses how the Bank is adapting labour market analysis tools to help guide monetary policy decisions that will support a more inclusive recovery. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
April 13, 2007 The Large-Value Payments System: Insights from Selected Bank of Canada Research Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2007 Neville Arjani, Walter Engert Given the Bank of Canada's strong interest in the safe and efficient operation of major clearing and settlement systems, the Bank maintains a rigorous research agenda as a means of informing payments system policy and oversight. In this article, Arjani and Engert review recent research undertaken by Bank staff concerning the risk and efficiency of the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS). Based on the findings from this research, the authors conclude that the design of the LVTS strikes an effective balance between risk and efficiency. The article also demonstrates the increased use of simulation analysis as a tool for conducting payments system research. A brief summary of the Bank's oversight strategy for systemically important payments systems is also provided. Goals for future research are noted as well, including modelling of participant behaviour and continued external collaboration with other researchers. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
Bank Market Power and Central Bank Digital Currency: Theory and Quantitative Assessment Staff working paper 2019-20 Jonathan Chiu, Mohammad Davoodalhosseini, Janet Hua Jiang, Yu Zhu We show that issuing a deposit-like central bank digital currency (CBDC) with a proper interest rate would encourage banks to pay higher interest to keep their customers. Banks would then attract more deposits and offer more loans. Hence, a CBDC would not necessarily crowd out private banking. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E5, E50, E58 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market structure, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Money and payments, Digital assets and fintech