January 22, 2009 Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2009 The outlook for the global economy has deteriorated significantly since the October Monetary Policy Report. The financial crisis intensified last autumn and spilled over into an already weak global economy, which, in turn, put further strains on the financial system. Erratum: In Table 1 Interest Rates, the column "Estimated variable mortgage rate" should read 5.65 per cent for 4 December 2007 not 5.25. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 22, 2010 Monetary Policy Report – April 2010 Global economic growth has been somewhat stronger than projected, with momentum in emerging-market economies increasing noticeably. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
June 28, 2017 Markets Calling: Intelligence Gathering at the Bank of Canada Remarks Lynn Patterson CFA Society Calgary Calgary, Alberta Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses how the Bank gathers financial market intelligence and what it is learning. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Inflation targeting framework
October 31, 2014 Research Update - October 2014 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
Early Warning of Financial Stress Events: A Credit-Regime-Switching Approach Staff working paper 2016-21 Fuchun Li, Hongyu Xiao We propose an early warning model for predicting the likelihood of a financial stress event for a given future time, and examine whether credit plays an important role in the model as a non-linear propagator of shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, C14, G, G0, G01, G1, G17 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods
October 19, 2016 Monetary Policy Report – October 2016 Growth in the Canadian economy is expected to increase from 1.1 per cent this year to about 2.0 per cent in 2017 and 2018. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
May 19, 2015 The Way Home: Reading the Economic Signs Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island Governor Poloz discusses some key indicators the Bank is watching as the Canadian economy heads toward sustainable balanced growth. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
October 21, 2015 Monetary Policy Report – October 2015 Canada’s economy is expected to grow by 1.1 per cent this year before accelerating to 2.0 per cent in 2016 and 2.5 per cent in 2017. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
A Framework in Search of an Optimal Margining Policy for Official Institutions: The Canadian Experience Staff discussion paper 2016-9 Tomo Nakashima, Mihai Cosma, Boran Plong One of the main outcomes of the global financial crisis has been a series of new regulations imposed on the financial system and specifically on banks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): G, G3, G32 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Funds management, Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Money and payments, Payment and financial market infrastructures
January 17, 2018 Monetary Policy Report – January 2018 Growth in the Canadian economy is projected to slow from 3 per cent in 2017 to 2.2 per cent this year and 1.6 per cent in 2019. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report