October 21, 2004 Monetary Policy Report – October 2004 The Canadian economy continues to adjust to major global developments. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
January 25, 2007 Monetary Policy and Developments in the Global and Canadian Economies Remarks David Dodge Canadian Netherlands Business and Professional Association, and the European Union Chamber of Commerce in Toronto Toronto, Ontario The Bank of Canada has been around for over 70 years. Throughout this period, the Bank has had one over-arching mandate: to promote the economic and financial welfare of Canadians. Over the years, we have learned that the best contribution that monetary policy can make in this regard is to give Canadians confidence in the future value of their money. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
November 17, 2011 Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2011 This issue features four articles that present research and analysis by Bank staff. The first focuses on reforming the international monetary system; the second on the role of collateral and haircut policy in central bank lending; and the third on the extraction of information from the Business Outlook Survey using principal-component analysis. The fourth reviews studies that model the counterfeiting of bank notes. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
December 10, 2013 Financial System Review - December 2013 There have been positive developments in the global financial system since the June Financial System Review, in part reflecting some encouraging signs about the global economy. At the same time, significant vulnerabilities remain. The Governing Council judges that the overall risk to the stability of Canada’s financial system has decreased from “high” to “elevated” over the past six months. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial Stability Report
July 13, 2022 Monetary Policy Report – July 2022 The Canadian economy is now clearly in excess demand, and inflation is high and broadening. The Bank is projecting inflation to decline to about 3% by the end of 2023, and to return to the 2% target by the end of 2024. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
How to Predict Financial Stress? An Assessment of Markov Switching Models Staff working paper 2017-32 Benjamin Klaus, Thibaut Duprey This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a transition to a tranquil state. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C54, G, G0, G01, G1, G15 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods
January 20, 2016 Monetary Policy Report – January 2016 Growth in Canada’s economy is expected to reach 1.4 per cent this year and accelerate to 2.4 per cent in 2017. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 24, 2008 Monetary Policy Report – April 2008 Growth in the global economy began to slow in the fourth quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008. This reflected the effects of the slowdown in the U.S. economy and ongoing dislocations in global financial markets. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
October 28, 2020 Monetary Policy Report – October 2020 The Bank expects Canada’s economy to grow by almost 4 percent on average in 2021 and 2022, following a decline of about 5 ½ percent in 2020. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
March 26, 2011 The Paradigm Shifts: Global Imbalances, Policy, and Latin America Remarks Mark Carney Inter-American Development Bank Calgary, Alberta Globalization is the opportunity and the challenge of our age. It has the potential to lift billions out of poverty, vastly expand economic prospects, and develop a more diverse and resilient global economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks