Canadian Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Conditions Staff Discussion Paper 2020-4 Thibaut Duprey Severe disruptions in the financial markets, as observed during the 2008 global financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, can impair the stability of the entire financial system and worsen macroeconomic downturns. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E4, E44, G, G0, G01
SME Failures Under Large Liquidity Shocks: An Application to the COVID-19 Crisis Staff Working Paper 2023-32 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, Nicholas Sander We study the effects of financial frictions on firm exit when firms face large liquidity shocks. We develop a simple model of firm cost-minimization that introduces a financial friction that limits firms’ borrowing capacity to smooth temporary shocks to liquidity. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Firm dynamics, International topics JEL Code(s): D, D2, D21, D22, E, E6, E65, H, H8, H81
August 23, 2004 The Evolution of Liquidity in the Market for Government of Canada Bonds Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2004 Stacey Anderson, Stéphane Lavoie Using turnover ratios, Anderson and Lavoie describe the recent evolution of liquidity in various secondary government bond markets, focusing specifically on the market for Government of Canada securities. They attribute much of the recent variation in liquidity to such cyclical factors as changes in the interest rate environment and investors' appetite for risk, as well as developments in equity markets in the late 1990s. They also examine longer-term structural and policy-related trends, including the rate of adoption of financial and technological innovations and the level of government borrowing and debt-management initiatives. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Research Topic(s): Debt management, Financial markets, Recent economic and financial developments
December 8, 1994 Some macroeconomic implications of rising levels of government debt Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1994-1995 Tiff Macklem The level of government debt in Canada relative to gross domestic product has risen steadily since the mid-1970s. Canada has not been alone in experiencing rising government indebtedness, but in comparison to other countries, Canada's debt load is now distinctly on the high side. The author reviews some of the effects of rising government debt levels on macroeconomic performance and provides some calculations aimed at illustrating their possible long-run impact on the Canadian economy. His analysis, which is based on a model of the Canadian economy used at the Bank of Canada, suggests that higher levels of government debt reduce both the level of output and the share of output that is available for domestic consumption. The central policy implication is that there are substantial benefits to halting the rise in government debt and thus preventing further erosion of consumption opportunities. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Research Topic(s): Fiscal policy, Recent economic and financial developments
Relationships in the Interbank Market Staff Working Paper 2016-33 Jonathan Chiu, Cyril Monnet In the interbank market, banks will sometimes trade below the central bank's deposit rate. We explain this anomaly using a theory based on market frictions and relationship lending. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E4, E5
December 6, 1999 The Canadian economy, productivity, and our standard of living Remarks Gordon Thiessen The Fraser Institute Vancouver, British Columbia Over the past couple of years, there has been considerable debate about productivity and our standard of living in Canada. For the most part, the discussion of these issues has been useful, but at times it has been somewhat confusing. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Innovation and Growth with Financial, and Other, Frictions Staff Working Paper 2011-25 Jonathan Chiu, Césaire Meh, Randall Wright The generation and implementation of ideas, or knowledge, is crucial for economic performance. We study this process in a model of endogenous growth with frictions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E4, G, G2, O, O3, O4
December 8, 2003 Past Adjustments and Future Trends in the Canadian Economy Remarks David Dodge London Chamber of Commerce London, Ontario When giving a speech near the end of a year, it is common practice to look back over the past 12 months, consider what we have learned from the events and experiences of the year, and think a bit about what might lie ahead. I became Governor of the Bank of Canada in 2001 and, since that time, I have found myself saying at the end of each year, "Well, we won't see another year like that again." Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
September 25, 2007 Turbulence in Credit Markets: Causes, Effects, and Lessons To Be Learned Remarks David Dodge Vancouver Board of Trade Vancouver, British Columbia The turbulence in financial markets did not come about against a backdrop of economic weakness. Indeed, over the past number of years, the global economy has shown remarkable strength. We were also seeing encouraging signs of growth being spread more evenly. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
May 12, 2022 The perfect storm Remarks Toni Gravelle Association des économistes québécois Montréal, Quebec Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the commodity price shock and its implications for the Canadian economy and monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Recent economic and financial developments