ElasticSearch Score: 7.107347
We study the formation of price bubbles on experimental asset markets where cash earns interest. There are two main conclusions.
ElasticSearch Score: 7.0764275
Modeling and estimating persistent discrete data can be challenging. In this paper, we use an autoregressive panel probit model where the autocorrelation in the discrete variable is driven by the autocorrelation in the latent variable. In such a non-linear model, the autocorrelation in an unobserved variable results in an intractable likelihood containing high-dimensional integrals.
ElasticSearch Score: 7.0121627
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an atypical recession in which some sectors of the economy boomed and others collapsed. This required a unique fiscal policy reaction to both support firms and stimulate activity in sectors with slack. Was fiscal policy able to get where it was needed? Mostly, yes.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.8110495
May 13, 2014
The five articles in this issue present research and analysis by Bank staff covering a variety of topics: the growth of Canadian-dollar-denominated assets in official foreign reserves; the emergence of platform-based digital currencies; methods of forecasting the real price of oil; measures of uncertainty in monetary policy; and the recent performance of the labour market in Canada and the United States.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.7582297
October 19, 2006
The Canadian economy continues to operate just above its full production capacity, and the near-term outlook for core inflation has moved slightly higher.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.64472
January 30, 2001
The year that just passed posed many challenges for all Canadians. The slowdown in the global economy became more pronounced as the year went on, and this affected households, businesses, and governments alike. The tragedy of 11 September compounded the economic difficulties and issues facing us all. Through this period of rapidly changing circumstances, the Bank met its responsibilities by responding quickly and vigorously to events in order to underpin confidence and support the economy.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.6164393
January 30, 2006
In 2005, the Bank of Canada celebrated its 70th anniversary. Since the Bank opened its doors in March 1935, it has evolved into a national institution at the heart of Canada’s economy. We had a lot to celebrate in 2005—particularly our progress over the past 70 yearsand our continuing contribution to the economic and financial well-being of Canadians.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.5853753
May 19, 1999
Six months ago, at the time of the last Monetary Policy Report, the global economic and financial environment was volatile and highly uncertain because of the adverse situation in Asia and the fallout from the Russian debt moratorium.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.560619
How do banks' interconnections in the euro area contribute to the vulnerability of the banking system? We study both the direct interconnections (banks lend to each other) and the indirect interconnections (banks are exposed to similar sectors of the economy). These complex linkages make the banking system more vulnerable to contagion risks.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.3208146
April 14, 2005
The global economy has been unfolding largely as expected, and prospects for continued robust growth are quite favourable, especially over the near term.