ElasticSearch Score: 7.0181117
April 24, 2008
Growth in the global economy began to slow in the fourth quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008. This reflected the effects of the slowdown in the U.S. economy and ongoing dislocations in global financial markets.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.965512
October 20, 2005
The global economy has continued to grow at a robust pace since the July Monetary Policy Report Update.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.9531727
This equilibrium model explains the trend in long-term yields and business-cycle movements in short-term yields and yield spreads. The less-frequent inverted yield curves (and less-frequent recessions) after the 1990s are due to recent secular stagnation and procyclical inflation expectations.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.8329387
The official Chinese labour market indicators have been seen as problematic, given their small cyclical movement and their only-partial capture of the labour force. In our paper, we build a monthly Chinese labour market conditions index (LMCI) using text analytics applied to mainland Chinese-language newspapers over the period from 2003 to 2017.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.734448
October 21, 2004
The Canadian economy continues to adjust to major global developments.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.541517
May 1, 2001
At the time of the November 2000 Monetary Policy Report, although signs of the anticipated slowing of the U.S. economy were becoming apparent, the momentum of the global economy was considered strong.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.4359493
This paper relaxes the Bayesian Nash equilibrium (BNE) assumption commonly imposed in empirical discrete choice games with incomplete information. Instead of assuming that players have unbiased/correct expectations, my model treats a player’s belief about the behavior of other players as an unrestricted unknown function. I study the joint identification of belief and payoff functions.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.3946137
We introduce behavioral learning equilibria (BLE) into DSGE models with boundedly rational agents using simple but optimal first order autoregressive forecasting rules. The Smets-Wouters DSGE model with BLE is estimated and fits well with inflation survey expectations. As a policy application, we show that learning requires a lower degree of interest rate smoothing.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.393294
Our study aims to gain insight on financial stability and climate transition risk. We develop a methodological framework that captures the direct effects of a stressful climate transition shock as well as the indirect—or systemic—implications of these direct effects. We apply this framework using data from the Canadian financial system.
ElasticSearch Score: 6.133578
April 14, 2005
The global economy has been unfolding largely as expected, and prospects for continued robust growth are quite favourable, especially over the near term.