July 11, 2018 Bank of Canada raises overnight rate target to 1 ½ per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 1 ½ per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 ¾ per cent and the deposit rate is 1 ¼ per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 29, 2018 Business Outlook Survey - Summer 2018 Supported by expectations of sustained demand, responses to the summer Business Outlook Survey point to continued business optimism, particularly outside the energy-producing regions. In this context, firms reported increasing pressures on capacity and prices. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
August 29, 2018 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2018 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2018 - For the period ended 30 June 2018 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
August 21, 2018 Summary of Comments – Government of Canada Debt Distribution Framework Review Consultations A Summary of Comments received from the March 2018 Government of Canada Debt Distribution Framework Review Consultations is being published on the Bank of Canada’s website Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
Nowcasting Canadian Economic Activity in an Uncertain Environment Staff Discussion Paper 2018-9 Tony Chernis, Rodrigo Sekkel This paper studies short-term forecasting of Canadian real GDP and its expenditure components using combinations of nowcasts from different models. Starting with a medium-sized data set, we use a suite of common nowcasting tools for quarterly real GDP and its expenditure components. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E3, E37, E5, E52
May 1, 2018 Bank of Canada policy helps manage risks from debt, Governor Poloz says Media Relations Yellowknife, Northwest Territories Elevated household debts make the Canadian economy more vulnerable to events that could affect growth and financial stability, and the Bank of Canada’s cautious approach to monetary policy is helping manage the risks, Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. In a speech to the Yellowknife Chamber of Commerce, Governor Poloz said that high household debt […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
How to Manage Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Risks: A New Framework Staff Analytical Note 2018-11 Alexander Ueberfeldt, Thibaut Duprey Financial system vulnerabilities increase the downside risk to future GDP growth. Macroprudential tightening significantly reduces financial stability risks associated with vulnerabilities. Monetary policy faces a trade-off between financial stability and macroeconomic risks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Central bank research, Economic models, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52, E58, G, G0, G01
Customer Liquidity Provision in Canadian Bond Markets Staff Analytical Note 2018-12 Corey Garriott, Jesse Johal This analytical note assesses the prevalence of liquidity provision by institutional investors in Canadian bonds. We find that the practice is not prevalent in Canada. Customer liquidity provision is more prevalent for less liquid bonds, on days when liquidity is already expensive or when there are larger trading volumes. In our interpretation, Canadian dealers draw on customer liquidity as a supplementary source of liquidity and only when necessary, given its cost. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14, G2, G20, L, L1
April 23, 2018 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are pleased to be with you today to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report (MPR), which we published last week. At the time of our last appearance in October, we saw signs that the Canadian economy was moderating after an exceptionally strong […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
April 18, 2018 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz, Carolyn A. Wilkins Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements