April 8, 2013 Business Outlook Survey - Spring 2013 Taken together, responses to the spring survey indicate that, following a recent slowing in economic activity, firms expect business conditions to remain challenging over the next 12 months. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
March 28, 2013 Banking and Financial Statistics - March 2013 Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Banking and Financial Statistics
March 22, 2013 Weekly Financial Statistics - 22 March 2013 Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Weekly Financial Statistics
March 15, 2013 Weekly Financial Statistics - 15 March 2013 Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Weekly Financial Statistics
July 3, 2015 Weekly Financial Statistics - 3 July 2015 Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Weekly Financial Statistics
Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data Staff Working Paper 2015-24 Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva-Leon This paper introduces new weighting schemes for model averaging when one is interested in combining discrete forecasts from competing Markov-switching models. In particular, we extend two existing classes of combination schemes – Bayesian (static) model averaging and dynamic model averaging – so as to explicitly reflect the objective of forecasting a discrete outcome. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E3, E32, E37
June 26, 2015 Weekly Financial Statistics - 26 June 2015 Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Weekly Financial Statistics
Sheltered Income: Estimating Income Under-Reporting in Canada, 1998 and 2004 Staff Working Paper 2015-22 Geoffrey R. Dunbar, Chunling Fu We use data from the Survey of Financial Security and the Survey of Household Spending to estimate the incidence and extent of income under-reporting in Canada in 1998 and 2004. We estimate that the proportion of households under-reporting income is roughly 35 to 50 per cent in both years. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components JEL Code(s): H, H2, H26, I, I3, I32, K, K4, K42
June 25, 2015 Banking and Financial Statistics - June 2015 Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Banking and Financial Statistics
Changes in Payment Timing in Canada’s Large Value Transfer System Staff Working Paper 2015-20 Nellie Zhang This paper uncovers trends in payment timing in Canada’s Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) from 2003 to 2011. Descriptive analysis shows that LVTS payment activity has not been peaking in the late afternoon since 2008, and the improvement was most significant in 2009. Content Type(s): Staff working papers Topic(s): Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E5, E50, G, G2, G20