October 12, 2018 Macrofinancial Issues Workshop This workshop, hosted by our Financial Stability Department, brings together top researchers from Canada and the United States, to discuss macro-financial issues such as the housing market, banking and regulatory policies. This event will be a precursor to two-day annual meetings of academic and business professionals more broadly focused on financial systems issues. Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
Central Bank Digital Currency and Monetary Policy Staff Working Paper 2018-36 Mohammad Davoodalhosseini Many central banks are contemplating whether to issue central bank digital currency. This piece explores the implications as well as potential motivators of such a step. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Digital currencies and fintech, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, E5, E50
December 17, 2018 CARR Meeting (December 17, 2018) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
December 6, 2018 Year-End Economic Progress Report: Financial Vulnerabilities in Focus Remarks Stephen S. Poloz CFA Toronto Toronto, Ontario Governor Poloz talks about how household debt levels and housing markets played a role in the latest interest-rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
The Impact of Surprising Monetary Policy Announcements on Exchange Rate Volatility Staff Analytical Note 2018-39 Adam Albogatchiev, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Jabir Sandhu, Reginald Xie We identify a few Bank of Canada press releases that had the largest immediate impact on the exchange rate market. We find that volatility increases after these releases, but the effect is short-lived and mostly dissipates after the first hour, on average. Beyond the first hour, the size of the effect is similar to what we observe for other economic releases, such as those for inflation or economic growth data. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G10, G12, G14, G15
December 6, 2018 Governor Poloz speaks on financial vulnerabilities and risks to the economy Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz CFA - Toronto Toronto, Ontario In his final speech of 2018, Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the vulnerabilities and risks in Canada’s financial system as well as Canadian and global economic developments. He explains how all this was taken into account in the December interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada Staff Analytical Note 2018-36 Thibaut Duprey, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Maarten van Oordt, Sofia Priazhkina, Xiangjin Shen, Joshua Slive We use a suite of risk-assessment models to examine the possible impact of a hypothetical house price correction, centred in the Toronto and Vancouver areas. We also assume financial stress significantly amplifies the macroeconomic impact of the house price decline. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing JEL Code(s): E, E2, E27, E3, E37, E4, E44, G, G2, G21
January 28, 2019 CFIF Meeting (January 28, 2019) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum
October 31, 2018 Research Update - October 2018 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
Following the Money: Evidence for the Portfolio Balance Channel of Quantitative Easing Staff Working Paper 2018-33 Itay Goldstein, Jonathan Witmer, Jing Yang Recent research suggests that quantitative easing (QE) may affect a broad range of asset prices through a portfolio balance channel. Using novel security-level holding data of individual US mutual funds, we establish evidence that portfolio rebalancing occurred both within and across funds. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, G, G2, G23