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January 22, 2004

Release of the Monetary Policy Report Update

Opening statement David Dodge
Three developments have led us to modify our outlook for economic growth and inflation in Canada, since our October Monetary Policy Report. These include: stronger-than-expected world economic activity, the continued sharp depreciation of the U.S. dollar against major world currencies (including the Canadian dollar), and a somewhat larger output gap in Canada at the end of 2003.

Prévision et analyse de la production manufacturière au Canada : comparaison de modèles linéaires et non linéaires

Staff Working Paper 2004-40 Frédérick Demers
In this paper, the author describes reduced-form linear and non-linear econometric models developed to forecast and analyze quarterly data on output growth in the Canadian manufacturing sector from 1981 to 2003.
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