Let’s Get Physical: Impacts of Climate Change Physical Risks on Provincial Employment Staff Working Paper 2024-32 Thibaut Duprey, Soojin Jo, Geneviève Vallée We analyze 40 years’ worth of natural disasters using a local projection framework to assess their impact on provincial labour markets in Canada. We find that disasters decrease hours worked within a week and lower wage growth in the medium run. Our study highlights that disasters affect vulnerable workers through the income channel. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Climate change, Labour markets, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): C, C3, C33, E, E2, E24, J, J3, Q, Q5, Q54
September 10, 2024 Speech by Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada On Tuesday, September 10, 2024, Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce in London, United Kingdom. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
September 4, 2024 Monetary Policy Decision Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Tiff Macklem Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
Decision Synthesis in Monetary Policy Staff Working Paper 2024-30 Tony Chernis, Gary Koop, Emily Tallman, Mike West We use Bayesian predictive decision synthesis to formalize monetary policy decision-making. We develop a case-study of monetary policy decision-making of an inflation-targeting central bank using multiple models in a manner that considers decision goals, expectations and outcomes. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C3, C32, C5, C53
August 8, 2024 Bank of Canada engages experts to assess internal review of exceptional policy actions during pandemic Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada announced today the names of three external experts who will provide an independent assessment of its review of exceptional policy actions taken during the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 19, 2024 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of June 5, 2024 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on June 5, 2024. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
Non-Parametric Identification and Testing of Quantal Response Equilibrium Staff Working Paper 2024-24 Johannes Hoelzemann, Ryan Webb, Erhao Xie We show that the utility function and the error distribution are non-parametrically over-identified under Quantal Response Equilibrium (QRE). This leads to a simple test for QRE. We illustrate our method in a Monte Carlo exercise and a laboratory experiment. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, C5, C57, C9, C92
June 10, 2024 CARR provides guidance for CDOR-based loans, derivatives and securities that do not have a robust fallback in place for CDOR’s cessation post June 28, 2024 The Canadian Alternative Reference Rate working group (CARR) is providing guidance to market participants with respect to CDOR-linked loans, derivatives and securities that do not have adequate fallback language to address the cessation of CDOR following the final publication by Refinitiv Benchmark Services (UK) Limited on June 28, 2024 (the “Cessation Date”). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
June 13, 2024 Speech by Sharon Kozicki, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada On Thursday, June 13, 2024, Sharon Kozicki, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Canadian Association for Business Economics (CABE) hosted by the Ottawa Economics Association (OEA). Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories