Long-Term Determinants of the Personal Savings Rate: Literature Review and Some Empirical Results for Canada Staff Working Paper 2000-3 Gilles Bérubé, Denise Côté This paper examines the structural determinants of the personal savings rate in Canada over the last 30 years, using cointegration techniques. The main finding is that the real interest rate, expected inflation, the ratio of the all-government fiscal balances to nominal GDP, and the ratio of household net worth to personal disposable income are the most […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E2, E21
March 9, 2000 The Conduct of Monetary Policy When You Live Next Door to a Large Neighbour Remarks Gordon Thiessen Canadian Society of New York New York, New York Both in Canada and elsewhere, much ink has been spilled over the past year on the pros and cons of different exchange rate regimes and the implications for monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Responses of Various Econometric Models to Selected Policy Shocks Technical Report No. 38 Brian O'Reilly, Graydon Paulin, Philip Smith In July, 1982 a seminar was held in Ottawa to compare the responses of nine major econometric models to a previously specified set of shocks to the Canadian economy. At the seminar, which was sponsored by the Bank of Canada and the Department of Finance, participants presented the results of their simulations and discussed the […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E1, E17
September 19, 2000 Bank of Canada to adopt fixed dates for announcing Bank Rate changes Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today outlined details of its plan to adopt a system of eight “fixed” or pre-specified dates each year for announcing any changes to the official interest rate it uses to implement monetary policy—the rate of interest it charges on short-term loans to financial institutions. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
May 17, 2000 Bank of Canada Raises Target Overnight Rate by ½ Percentage Point to 5¾ Per Cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada raised its target for the overnight rate by one-half of one percentage point to 5¾ per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate was correspondingly increased, and the Bank Rate is now 6 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Une analyse empirique du lien entre la productivité et le taux de change réel Canada-É-U Staff Working Paper 2000-22 David Dupuis, David Tessier The relative productivity gap between Canada and the United States is a controversial subject matter. One argument especially contentious in this debate stems from the belief that the gradual depreciation of the Canadian dollar over the last 20 years has been one of the determinants of the productivity gap. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers
March 22, 2000 Bank Rate Raised by ¼ Percentage Point to 5½ Per Cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada raised its Bank Rate today by ¼ of one percentage point to 5½ per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate was correspondingly increased, and the Bank’s target for the overnight rate is now 5¼ per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Steps in Applying Extreme Value Theory to Finance: A Review Staff Working Paper 2000-20 Younes Bensalah Extreme value theory (EVT) has been applied in fields such as hydrology and insurance. It is a tool used to consider probabilities associated with extreme and thus rare events. EVT is useful in modelling the impact of crashes or situations of extreme stress on investor portfolios. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C0, C4, C5, G, G1
Volatility Transmission Between Foreign Exchange and Money Markets Staff Working Paper 2000-16 Shafiq K. Ebrahim This paper uses trivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models to study price and volatility spillovers between the foreign exchange and associated money markets. Three models are estimated using data on U.S. dollar/Canadian dollar, U.S. dollar/Deutsche mark, and U.S. dollar/Japanese yen daily exchange rate returns together with returns on 90-day Eurodollar, Euro Canada, Euromark, and Euroyen deposits. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): International financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G15
Identifying Policy-makers' Objectives: An Application to the Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper 2000-11 Nicholas Rowe, James Yetman In this paper, we develop a new way to test hypotheses about policy-makers' targets, and we implement that test for Canadian monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation targets JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E6, E61