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9212 Results

Potential output in Canada: 2024 assessment

We expect that potential output in Canada will grow by 2.3% and 2.5% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, and average slightly below 1.7% by 2027 as population growth moderates. Relative to the April 2023 assessment, growth is revised up in 2024, with a larger contribution from trend labour input due to higher-than-anticipated population growth. We revise down our estimates of growth over 2025–26.

U.S. Macroeconomic News and Low-Frequency Changes in Small Open Economies’ Bond Yields

Using two complementary approaches, we investigate the importance of U.S. macroeconomic news in driving low-frequency fluctuations in the term structure of interest rates in Canada, Sweden and the United Kingdom. We find that U.S. macroeconomic news is particularly important to explain changes in the expectation components of the nominal, real and break-even inflation rates of small open economies.
April 15, 2024

CARR to begin publishing data on the transition of CDOR based loans to CORRA

To facilitate the monitoring of the transition away from CDOR based loans to CORRA and Term CORRA, CARR will publish a monthly report on the aggregated outstanding amount of CDOR loans that have not transitioned to other benchmarks, as well as the volume of new loans, including any transitioned loans, referencing CORRA and/or Term CORRA.
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