How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections Staff Discussion Paper 2019-6 Olivier Gervais We provide empirical evidence on the impact of oil supply shocks on global aggregates. To do this, we first extract structural oil supply shocks from a standard oil-price determination model found in the literature. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, E, E3, E37, Q, Q4, Q43
July 23, 2019 Bank of Canada publishes its 2020 schedule for policy interest rate announcements, the release of the Monetary Policy Report and other major publications Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today published its 2020 schedule for policy interest rate announcements and the release of the quarterly Monetary Policy Report and reconfirmed the scheduled interest rate announcement dates for the remainder of this year. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
July 16, 2019 Results from the CARR Consultation on Enhancements to the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average This document provides a summary of consultation results on enhancements to the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
July 10, 2019 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
Relative Value of Government of Canada Bonds Staff Analytical Note 2019-23 Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Jabir Sandhu, Adrian Walton Government of Canada bonds in circulation that promise very similar payoffs can have different prices. We study the reason for these differences. Bonds that trade more often and earn high rental income in the repurchase agreement (repo) market tend to have higher prices. Bonds with longer tenors and times to maturity tend to have lower prices. This contrast between cheap and expensive bonds is important because trading volume and rental income can change rapidly, unlike tenor and time to maturity, which are stable. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G11, G12, G2, G23, G3, G32
June 28, 2019 Senior Loan Officer Survey—Second Quarter of 2019 For household lending, mortgage conditions eased, while non-mortgage lending conditions remained unchanged. Overall business lending conditions eased slightly, driven mainly by small and commercial businesses outside the Prairies as well as corporates. Content Type(s): Publications, Senior Loan Officer Survey
June 27, 2019 Bank of Canada announces partnership to improve resilience in financial sector Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank’s cyber security strategy charts our course to reduce risk and promote resilience for the years 2019 to 2021. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): Canadian Financial Sector Resiliency Group
June 17, 2019 The merits of a floating exchange rate Speech summary Lawrence L. Schembri Economics Society of Northern Alberta (ESNA) Edmonton, Alberta Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri explains how Canada’s monetary policy framework—inflation targeting underpinned by a flexible exchange rate—has proved to be the most durable in the post-war period. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rates, Financial markets, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework
August 21, 2019 Expansion of Term Repo Operations for balance sheet management purposes As part of the regular management of the Bank of Canada’s (Bank) balance sheet, the Bank acquires assets to offset its liabilities, which consists mainly of bank notes in circulation and government deposits. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Term repo operations
Outlook for Electric Vehicles and Implications for the Oil Market Staff Analytical Note 2019-19 Étienne Latulippe, Kun Mo The market for electric vehicles (EVs) is growing rapidly. Subsidies and technological improvements are expected to increase the market share of EVs over the coming decade. In its base-case scenario, the International Energy Agency (IEA) expects EV use to rise from 4 million vehicles in 2018 to 120 million by 2030, or from 0.3 per cent to over 7 per cent of the global car fleet. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): Q, Q4, Q47