Tracking Canadian Trend Productivity: A Dynamic Factor Model with Markov Switching Staff Discussion Paper 2007-12 Michael Dolega The author attempts to track Canadian labour productivity over the past four decades using a multivariate dynamic factor model that, in addition to the labour productivity series, includes aggregate compensation and consumption information. Productivity is assumed to switch between two regimes (the high-growth state and the low-growth state) with different trend growth rates according to […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Productivity JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, O, O4, O5, O51
November 20, 2007 Managing Risks to Financial System Stability Remarks Pierre Duguay CFA Québec Québec, Québec The recent dislocations in credit markets have brought these issues into sharp focus. Among other things, the market turbulence has highlighted the critical role that confidence and liquidity play in financial markets. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
November 15, 2007 Debt Strategy Consultations 2008/09 Views Sought on Issues Relating to the Government's Domestic Debt Program for 2008/09 and Beyond A consultation document on issues relating to the design and operation of the government's domestic debt program for the fiscal year 2008/09 and beyond, prepared jointly by the Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada, is being made public today. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
November 14, 2007 Canada & Ontario in the Global Economy: Challenges in a Changing World Presentation Paul Jenkins Ontario Economic Summit Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Presentations
November 7, 2007 Developing a Framework to Assess Financial Stability Conference held on 7 and 8 November 2007 (papers in unedited, electronic format only) Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
November 6, 2007 North America in Today's Global Economic Setting Remarks Paul Jenkins Canadian Association of New York New York, New York In recent months, much has been said, and written, about developments in financial markets. The turbulence in global credit markets, which had its roots in developments in the market for subprime mortgages here in the United States, has been a focal point of attention for market participants and policy-makers around the world. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Expenditure-Switching Effect and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime Staff Working Paper 2007-54 Wei Dong The author investigates the quantitative importance of the expenditure-switching effect by developing and estimating a structural sticky-price model nesting both producer currency pricing (PCP) and local currency pricing (LCP) settings. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F4
Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous-Time Approach Staff Working Paper 2007-53 Antonio Diez de los Rios, Enrique Sentana Nowadays researchers can choose the sampling frequency of exchange rates and interest rates. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G1, G15
Where Does Price Discovery Occur in FX Markets? Staff Working Paper 2007-52 Chris D'Souza Trades in foreign exchange markets are initiated around the world and around the clock. This study illustrates that trades are more informative when initiated in a local country or in major foreign exchange centers like London and New York. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G1, G15
October 25, 2007 Forecasting Short-Term Economic Developments and the Role of Econometric Models Conference held on 25 and 26 October 2007 (papers in unedited, electronic format only) Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops