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December 6, 2018

CFA Society Toronto - Speech (Webcasts)

Economic Progress Report and financial stability - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the CFA Society Toronto (08:50 (Eastern Time) approx.)

December 6, 2018

Governor Poloz speaks on financial vulnerabilities and risks to the economy

Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz CFA - Toronto Toronto, Ontario
In his final speech of 2018, Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the vulnerabilities and risks in Canada’s financial system as well as Canadian and global economic developments. He explains how all this was taken into account in the December interest rate decision.

The Impact of Surprising Monetary Policy Announcements on Exchange Rate Volatility

We identify a few Bank of Canada press releases that had the largest immediate impact on the exchange rate market. We find that volatility increases after these releases, but the effect is short-lived and mostly dissipates after the first hour, on average. Beyond the first hour, the size of the effect is similar to what we observe for other economic releases, such as those for inflation or economic growth data.

Does US or Canadian Macro News Drive Canadian Bond Yields?

Staff Analytical Note 2018-38 Bruno Feunou, Rodrigo Sekkel, Morvan Nongni-Donfack
We show that a large share of low-frequency (quarterly) movements in Canadian government bond yields can be explained by macroeconomic news, even though high-frequency (daily) changes are driven by other shocks. Furthermore, we show that US macro news—not domestic news— explains most of the quarterly variation in Canadian bond yields.

Paul Beaudry

Paul Beaudry
Paul Beaudry served as Deputy Governor from February 2019 until his retirement from the Bank of Canada in July 2023.
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