Managing GDP Tail Risk Staff Working Paper 2020-3 Thibaut Duprey, Alexander Ueberfeldt Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Economic models, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): D, D8, E, E4, E44, E5, E52, E58, G, G0, G01
Social Learning and Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound Staff Working Paper 2020-2 Jasmina Arifovic, Alex Grimaud, Isabelle Salle, Gauthier Vermandel This research develops a model in which the economy is directly influenced by how pessimistic or optimistic economic agents are about the future. The agents may hold different views and update them as new economic data become available. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications JEL Code(s): C, C8, C82, E, E3, E32, E5, E52
January 28, 2020 Public Awareness Surveys See why your opinion of the Bank matters to us, and find out about our latest Public Awareness Survey.
January 27, 2020 CARR Meeting (January 27, 2020) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
January 27, 2020 Modification to the Operational Details for the Bank of Canada’s Primary Market Purchases of Canada Mortgage Bonds for Balance Sheet Management Purposes The Bank of Canada (Bank) is announcing a modification to the operational details for its purchases of Canada Mortgage Bonds (CMB) for balance sheet management purposes. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canada Mortgage Bond Purchase Program
January 22, 2020 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Ottawa, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
January 22, 2020 Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 ¾ percent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 ¾ percent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 2 percent and the deposit rate is 1 ½ percent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases