April 13, 2011 Release of the Monetary Policy Report Opening statement Mark Carney Ottawa, Ontario As anticipated in January, the global economic recovery is becoming more firmly entrenched and is expected to continue at a steady pace. In the United States, growth is solidifying, although consolidation of household and ultimately government balance sheets will limit the pace of the expansion. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
April 13, 2011 Monetary Policy Report – April 2011 This is a report of the Governing Council of the Bank of Canada: Mark Carney, Tiff Macklem, John Murray, Timothy Lane, Jean Boivin and Agathe Côté. It presents the Bank’s outlook based on data received up to 8 April 2011. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
April 12, 2011 Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Mixed Frequency Forecasts for Chinese GDP Staff Working Paper 2011-11 Philipp Maier We evaluate different approaches for using monthly indicators to predict Chinese GDP for the current and the next quarter (‘nowcasts’ and ‘forecasts’, respectively). We use three types of mixed-frequency models, one based on an economic activity indicator (Liu et al., 2007), one based on averaging over indicator models (Stock and Watson, 2004), and a static factor model (Stock and Watson, 2002). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C5, C50, C53, E, E3, E37, E4, E47
April 4, 2011 Senior Loan Officer Survey - First-Quarter 2011 The survey results point to an overall net easing in business-lending conditions. Both the price and non-price aspects of business lending eased during the first quarter. Note that the balance of opinion indicates only the direction of the change in lending conditions; it does not provide information on the magnitude of the change. Content Type(s): Publications, Senior Loan Officer Survey
April 4, 2011 Business Outlook Survey - Spring 2011 Businesses remain positive about the economic outlook, although some forward-looking indicators have eased from the levels recorded in recent surveys, and the strength in commodity prices has raised expectations for costs and inflation. Erratum: Please note that the legend for Chart 9 (French version only) should read as follows: au-dessus de 3 % , rather than au-dessous de 3 % Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
Sovereign Default Risk Premia, Fiscal Limits and Fiscal Policy Staff Working Paper 2011-10 Huixin Bi We develop a closed economy model to study the interactions among sovereign risk premia, fiscal limits, and fiscal policy. The stochastic fiscal limits, which measure the ability and willingness of the government to service its debt, arise endogenously from a dynamic Laffer curve. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Fiscal policy, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E6, E62, H, H3, H30, H6, H60
March 30, 2011 Bank of Canada Announces Recipients of 2011 Fellowship and Governor’s Awards Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that Professors Randall K. Morck of the University of Alberta and Gregor W. Smith of Queen’s University are the recipients of the Bank’s Fellowship Award for 2011. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): Fellowship Program