November 13, 2000 Seminar Summary: Price Stability and the Long-Run Target for Monetary Policy Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2000 Allan Crawford On 8 and 9 June 2000, the Bank held a seminar to examine some key issues affecting the upcoming decision on Canada's inflation-control target for the period after 2001. The main issues covered at the seminar were the extent of downward nominal-wage rigidity and its implications for employment as well as the relative merits of price-level targeting versus inflation targeting. Another critical question that was discussed was how to balance the evidence on all the relevant issues in order to develop an overall view on the appropriate long-run target. The author gives a brief overview of the seminar followed by detailed summaries of individual papers. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Inflation targets
November 9, 2000 Monetary Policy Report – November 2000 Over the last six months, most countries have continued to register strong economic growth. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
November 9, 2000 Release of the Monetary Policy Report Opening statement Gordon Thiessen This morning we released our latest Monetary Policy Report. In the six months since the May Report, our economy has outperformed expectations, spurred by strong domestic and foreign demand for Canadian products. We now expect that growth will average 5 per cent in 2000 and 3 to 4 per cent in 2001. Despite this stronger-than-anticipated […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
November 9, 2000 Bank of Canada releases semi-annual Monetary Policy Report Media Relations The Bank of Canada today released its twelfth semi-annual Monetary Policy Report in which it discusses economic and financial trends in the context of Canada’s inflation-control strategy. The Monetary Policy Report is published every May and November. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Une analyse empirique du lien entre la productivité et le taux de change réel Canada-É-U Staff Working Paper 2000-22 David Dupuis, David Tessier The relative productivity gap between Canada and the United States is a controversial subject matter. One argument especially contentious in this debate stems from the belief that the gradual depreciation of the Canadian dollar over the last 20 years has been one of the determinants of the productivity gap. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers
Steps in Applying Extreme Value Theory to Finance: A Review Staff Working Paper 2000-20 Younes Bensalah Extreme value theory (EVT) has been applied in fields such as hydrology and insurance. It is a tool used to consider probabilities associated with extreme and thus rare events. EVT is useful in modelling the impact of crashes or situations of extreme stress on investor portfolios. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C0, C4, C5, G, G1
November 1, 2000 Revisiting the Case for Flexible Exchange Rates Proceedings of a conference held by the Bank of Canada, November 2000 (proceedings volume, available in electronic format only) Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
October 30, 2000 Bank of Canada releases dates for announcing Bank Rate actions Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today made public the dates through the year 2001 on which it will announce any changes to the official interest rate it uses to implement monetary policy. Last month the Bank outlined its plan to adopt a new system of pre-set or "fixed" dates for announcing changes to the Bank Rate, […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 17, 2000 Can a Bank Change? The Evolution of Monetary Policy at the Bank of Canada 1935–2000 Lecture Gordon Thiessen Faculty of Social Science, University of Western Ontario Over this period, there has been a fundamental transformation in the way monetary policy is conducted in Canada and in most other industrial countries. While globalization and technological change have played an important role in this area, as in so many others, they have not, to my mind, been the principal driving force behind this transformation. Far more important has been the interaction of experience and economic theory. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Lectures
Le modèle USM d'analyse et de projection de l'économie américaine Staff Working Paper 2000-19 René Lalonde In this study, the author presents a new forecast and analysis model for the U.S. economy (i.e., the USM model) constructed at the Bank of Canada. The USM has a number of advantages over its predecessor, the VSM model. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers