Making It Real: Bringing Research Models into Central Bank Projections Staff Discussion Paper 2023-29 Marc-André Gosselin, Sharon Kozicki Macroeconomic projections and risk analyses play an important role in guiding monetary policy decisions. Models are integral to this process. This paper discusses how the Bank of Canada brings research models and lessons learned from those models into the central bank projection environment. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C51, E, E3, E37, E4, E47, E5, E52
December 7, 2023 Speech by Toni Gravelle, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada On Thursday, December 7, 2023, Toni Gravelle, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Windsor-Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation Staff Analytical Note 2023-17 Julien Champagne, Erik Ens, Xing Guo, Olena Kostyshyna, Alexander Lam, Corinne Luu, Sarah Miller, Patrick Sabourin, Joshua Slive, Temel Taskin, Jaime Trujillo, Shu Lin Wee We assess the complex macroeconomic implications of Canada’s recent population increases. We find that newcomers significantly boost the non-inflationary, potential growth of the economy, but existing imbalances in the housing sector may be exacerbated. Greater housing supply is needed to complement the long-term economic benefits of population growth. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Potential output, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): A, A1, A10, E, E2, E20, E3, E31, J, J1, J11, J15
December 7, 2023 Economic progress report: Immigration, housing and the outlook for inflation Remarks Toni Gravelle Windsor–Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the latest interest rate decision along with how immigration helps Canada’s economy and how it impacts inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
December 7, 2023 What population growth means for the economy and inflation Speech summary Toni Gravelle Windsor-Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates steady at 5%, Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses immigration, inflation and the role that newcomers play in helping our economy grow. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
December 6, 2023 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
December 6, 2023 Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement On Wednesday, December 6, 2023, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the target for the overnight rate. A press release will provide a brief explanation of the decision. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
November 30, 2023 CARR amends recommended fallback for CDOR NHA MBS, and publishes a guide for Canadian companies transitioning from CDOR In 2021, CARR published “Recommended fallback language for FRNs referencing CDOR” which recommended that CDOR-linked floating rate notes (FRNs), including floating rate NHA MBS, fall back from CDOR to a CORRA fallback rate (“Fallback Rate (CORRA)” as defined in the document). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group