Evaluating the Effects of Forward Guidance and Large-scale Asset Purchases Staff Working Paper 2021-54 Xu Zhang I propose a novel method to identify and estimate the macroeconomic effects of forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) for each FOMC announcement. I find that LSAP is more important than forward guidance in influencing output and inflation. LSAP puts upward pressure on short-term yields, so it should always be used in conjunction with forward guidance. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E5, G, G0
November 3, 2021 Bank of Canada announces climate change commitments for COP26 Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario Addressing climate change is a global challenge. While the Government of Canada has the primary responsibility for climate change policy, the Bank of Canada recognizes the importance of including climate change considerations in its work to promote the economic and financial welfare of Canadians. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Topic(s): Climate change
October 31, 2021 Research Update - October 2021 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
October 29, 2021 Operational details for upcoming secondary market purchases of Government of Canada securities (November 1-12) As previously announced, the Bank of Canada (the Bank) launched on April 1, 2020 a program to purchase Government of Canada securities in the secondary market – the Government Bond Purchase Program (GBPP). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program
What to Target? Insights from a Lab Experiment Staff Working Paper 2021-53 Isabelle Salle In a laboratory experiment, we ask participants to predict inflation using three different policy regimes: inflation targeting—with and without greater communication of the target—average inflation targeting and price level targeting. We use participants’ predictions to compare the level and stability of inflation under each regime. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation targets, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): C, C9, C92, E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E7
October 27, 2021 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Tiff Macklem Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
October 27, 2021 Balance sheet operations for the reinvestment of proceeds of maturing Government of Canada bonds As announced on October 27, 2021, the Bank of Canada is ending quantitative easing and moving into the reinvestment phase effective November 1, 2021. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program
October 27, 2021 Labour market recovery from COVID‑19 COVID-19 has emphasized the complexity and diversity of the labour market – and the need to look at a broad range of measures to assess labour market health. View the indicators that track the recovery of the labour market from COVID-19.
October 27, 2021 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate and forward guidance, ends quantitative easing Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases