Sectoral Uncertainty Staff Working Paper 2022-38 Efrem Castelnuovo, Kerem Tuzcuoglu, Luis Uzeda We propose a new empirical framework that jointly decomposes the conditional variance of economic time series into a common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a disaggregated industrial production series for the US economy. We identify unexpected changes in durable goods uncertainty as drivers of downturns, while unexpected hikes in non-durable goods uncertainty are expansionary. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, C55, E, E3, E32, E4, E44
September 8, 2022 Getting inflation back to normal Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Speaking a day after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses where the economy stands and what the Bank is doing to get inflation back under control. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates
September 8, 2022 Economic progress report: Restoring price stability Remarks Carolyn Rogers Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers provides an economic update and discusses why the Bank is raising rates fast to tackle high inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates
September 8, 2022 CFEC Meeting (September 8, 2022) Bank of Montreal / video conference Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee
September 7, 2022 Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 75 basis points, continues quantitative tightening Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3½% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
September 1, 2022 Bank of Canada launches the 2023 Fellowship Program awards The Bank of Canada is inviting Canadian universities to nominate exceptional academics for its 2023 Fellowship and Governor’s awards. Content Type(s): Press, Announcements Source(s): Fellowship Program
August 31, 2022 Research Update - August 2022 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters