Linear and Threshold Forecasts of Output and Inflation with Stock and Housing Prices Staff Working Paper 2006-25 Greg Tkacz, Carolyn A. Wilkins The authors examine whether simple measures of Canadian equity and housing price misalignments contain leading information about output growth and inflation. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E4
Are Average Growth Rate and Volatility Related? Staff Working Paper 2006-24 Partha Chatterjee, Malik Shukayev The empirical relationship between the average growth rate and the volatility of growth rates, both over time and across countries, has important policy implications, which depend critically on the sign of the relationship. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32
Convergence in a Stochastic Dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin Model Staff Working Paper 2006-23 Partha Chatterjee, Malik Shukayev The authors characterize the equilibrium for a small economy in a dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin model with uncertainty. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): F, F4, F43, O, O4, O41
June 30, 2006 Business Outlook Survey - Summer 2006 The results of this Business Outlook Survey are broadly in line with those of the previous one. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
June 29, 2006 What Monetary Policy Can and Cannot Do Remarks Paul Jenkins Canadian Institute of Actuaries Ottawa, Ontario As Canada's central bank, we are committed to conduct monetary policy in a way that fosters confidence in the value of money. This is our primary responsibility. But the Bank has a number of other functions that are very important to economic life in Canada. We promote the safety and soundness of the financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
June 28, 2006 Bank of Canada Announces Appointment of Special Adviser Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced the appointment of Professor Steve Ambler to the position of Special Adviser for the year 2006-07. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 21, 2006 Global Economic Forces and the Need for Adjustment Remarks David Dodge Chambre de commerce du Montréal métropolitain and the Fédération des chambres de commerce du Québec Montréal, Quebec Since the start of the millennium, developments in the global economy have led to important changes throughout the Canadian economy and to serious challenges for many sectors and regions. Because nobody can anticipate precisely how the world will unfold, the best we can do is to ensure that our economy is as flexible as possible. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
June 21, 2006 Governor Dodge Says Canadian Businesses Are Making Needed Adjustments Media Relations Montréal, Quebec Powerful developments and trends in the global economy mean that Canadian businesses need to make adjustments, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 21, 2006 Credibility with Flexibility: The Evolution of Inflation-Targeting Regimes, 1990–2006 Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2006 Graydon Paulin Beginning with a review of the adoption of inflation targeting in a broad group of countries, Paulin focuses on changes in the design of inflation-targeting frameworks in light of fifteen years of accumulated experience. Included in the discussion are the use of numerical targets and ranges, the policy horizon, supporting institutional policy structures, and communication, including the publication of forecasts. A recurring theme is how much flexibility an inflation-targeting regime allows. The article concludes that the changes made to the frameworks have been relatively modest since their adoption, but in concert with the improved credibility that has resulted from central banks meeting their inflation-control targets, they have allowed an increasingly nuanced response to economic shocks. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework
June 21, 2006 Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2006 Cover page Irish Gun Money The coins pictured on the cover are part of the National Currency Collection of the Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review