Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1306
result(s)
Exchange Rate Fluctuations, Plant Turnover and Productivity
Staff Working Paper 2010-18
Ben Tomlin
In a small open economy fluctuations in the real exchange rate can affect plant turnover, and thus aggregate productivity, by altering the makeup of plants that populate the market. An appreciation of the local currency increases the level of competition in the domestic market as import competition intensifies and export opportunities shrink, forcing less productive plants from the market and compelling new entrants to be more competitive than they otherwise would have been.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Market structure and pricing,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D21,
D24,
L,
L1,
L11
The Transmission of Shocks to the Chinese Economy in a Global Context: A Model-Based Approach
Staff Working Paper 2010-17
Jeannine Bailliu,
Patrick Blagrave
To better understand the dynamics of the Chinese economy and its interaction with the global economy, the authors incorporate China into an existing model for the G-3 economies (i.e., the United States, the euro area, and Japan), paying particular attention to modelling the exchange rate and monetary policy in China.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Exchange rate regimes,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41
The Role of Expenditure Switching in the Global Imbalance Adjustment
Staff Working Paper 2010-16
Wei Dong
In theory, nominal exchange rate movements can lead to “expenditure switching” when they generate changes in the relative prices of goods across countries. This paper explores whether the expenditure-switching role of exchange rates has changed in the current episode of significant global imbalances.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F4
Inflation and Unemployment in Competitive Search Equilibrium
Staff Working Paper 2010-15
Mei Dong
Using a monetary search model, Rocheteau, Rupert and Wright (2007) show that the relationship between inflation and unemployment can be positive or negative depending on the primitives of the model. The key features are indivisible labor, nonseparable preferences and bargaining.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation: costs and benefits
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E12,
E13,
E4,
E40,
E5,
E52
International Capital Flows and Bond Risk Premia
Staff Working Paper 2010-14
Jesus Sierra
This paper studies the impact of international capital flows on asset prices through risk premia. We investigate whether foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury securities significantly contributed to the decline in excess returns on long-term bonds between 1995 and 2008.
Estimating the Structure of the Payment Network in the LVTS: An Application of Estimating Communities in Network Data
Staff Working Paper 2010-13
James Chapman,
Nellie Zhang
In the Canadian large value payment system an important goal is to understand how liquidity is transferred through the system and hence how efficient the system is in settling payments. Understanding the structure of the underlying network of relationships between participants in the payment system is a crucial step in achieving the goal.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C11,
D,
D8,
D85,
G,
G2,
G20
Financial Stress, Monetary Policy, and Economic Activity
Staff Working Paper 2010-12
Fuchun Li,
Pierre St-Amant
This paper examines empirically the impact of financial stress on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in Canada. The model used is a threshold vector autoregression in which a regime change occurs if financial stress conditions cross a critical threshold.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C01,
E,
E5,
E50,
G,
G0,
G01
Idiosyncratic Coskewness and Equity Return Anomalies
Staff Working Paper 2010-11
Fousseni Chabi-Yo,
Jun Yang
In this paper, we show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on the idiosyncratic coskewness beta, which measures the co-movement of the individual stock variance and the market return.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G11,
G12,
G14,
G3,
G33
On the Advantages of Disaggregated Data: Insights from Forecasting the U.S. Economy in a Data-Rich Environment
Staff Working Paper 2010-10
Nikita Perevalov,
Philipp Maier
The good forecasting performance of factor models has been well documented in the literature. While many studies focus on a very limited set of variables (typically GDP and inflation), this study evaluates forecasting performance at disaggregated levels to examine the source of the improved forecasting accuracy, relative to a simple autoregressive model. We use the latest revision of over 100 U.S. time series over the period 1974-2009 (monthly and quarterly data).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C50,
C53,
E,
E3,
E37,
E4,
E47