Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1324
result(s)
Interest on Cash, Fundamental Value Process and Bubble Formation on Experimental Asset Markets
Staff Working Paper 2014-18
Giovanni Giusti,
Janet Hua Jiang,
Yiping Xu
We study the formation of price bubbles on experimental asset markets where cash earns interest. There are two main conclusions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
C90,
G,
G1,
G10
Multiple Fixed Effects in Binary Response Panel Data Models
Staff Working Paper 2014-17
Karyne B. Charbonneau
This paper considers the adaptability of estimation methods for binary response panel data models to multiple fixed effects. It is motivated by the gravity equation used in international trade, where important papers such as Helpman, Melitz and Rubinstein (2008) use binary response models with fixed effects for both importing and exporting countries.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C23,
C25,
F,
F1,
F14
E-Money: Efficiency, Stability and Optimal Policy
Staff Working Paper 2014-16
Jonathan Chiu,
Tsz-Nga Wong
What makes e-money more special than cash? Is the introduction of e-money necessarily welfare enhancing? Is an e-money system necessarily stable? What is the optimal way to design an efficient and stable e-money scheme?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
L,
L5,
L51
The Efficiency of Private E-Money-Like Systems: The U.S. Experience with State Bank Notes
Staff Working Paper 2014-15
Warren E. Weber
In the United States prior to 1863 each bank issued its own distinct notes. E-money shares many of the characteristics of these bank notes. This paper describes some lessons relevant to e-money from the U.S. experience with state bank notes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E42,
E5,
E58
Uncertain Costs and Vertical Differentiation in an Insurance Duopoly
Staff Working Paper 2014-14
Radoslav Raykov
Classical oligopoly models predict that firms differentiate vertically as a way of softening price competition, but some metrics suggest very little quality differentiation in the U.S. auto insurance market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D43,
D8,
D81,
G,
G2,
G22,
L,
L2,
L22
Bond Risk Premia and Gaussian Term Structure Models
Staff Working Paper 2014-13
Bruno Feunou,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine
Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005) show that (i) lagged forward rates improve the predictability of annual bond returns, adding to current forward rates, and that (ii) a Markovian model for monthly forward rates cannot generate the pattern of predictability in annual returns.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
E47,
G,
G1,
G12
Do Sunspots Matter? Evidence from an Experimental Study of Bank Runs
Staff Working Paper 2014-12
Jasmina Arifovic,
Janet Hua Jiang
A "sunspot" is a variable that has no direct impact on the economy’s fundamental condition, such as preferences, endowments or technologies, but may nonetheless affect economic outcomes through the expectations channel as a coordination device. This paper investigates how people react to sunspots in the context of a bank-run game in a controlled laboratory environment.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
C91,
C92,
D,
D8,
D80,
E,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G20
Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work
Staff Working Paper 2014-11
Christiane Baumeister,
Pierre Guérin,
Lutz Kilian
The substantial variation in the real price of oil since 2003 has renewed interest in the question of how to forecast monthly and quarterly oil prices. There also has been increased interest in the link between financial markets and oil markets, including the question of whether financial market information helps forecast the real price of oil in physical markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
G,
G1,
G14,
Q,
Q4,
Q43
Macroeconomic Experiences and Risk Taking of Euro Area Households
Staff Working Paper 2014-10
Miguel Ampudia,
Michael Ehrmann
This paper studies to what extent the experiences of households shape their willingness to take financial risks. It follows the methodology of Malmendier and Nagel (2011) and applies it to a novel data set on household finances covering euro area households.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
D,
D0,
D03,
D1,
D14,
D8,
D83,
G,
G1,
G11