Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1302
result(s)
Credit Crunches from Occasionally Binding Bank Borrowing Constraints
Staff Working Paper 2017-57
Tom D. Holden,
Paul Levine,
Jonathan Swarbrick
We present a model in which banks and other financial intermediaries face both occasionally binding borrowing constraints and costs of equity issuance. Near the steady state, these intermediaries can raise equity finance at no cost through retained earnings.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Economic models,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E22,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E51,
G,
G2
Bitcoin Awareness and Usage in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2017-56
Christopher Henry,
Kim Huynh,
Gradon Nicholls
There has been tremendous discussion of Bitcoin, digital currencies and FinTech. However, there is limited empirical evidence of Bitcoin’s adoption and usage. We propose a methodology to collect a nationally representative sample using the Bitcoin Omnibus Survey (BTCOS) to track the ubiquity and usage of Bitcoin in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
E,
E4
Risk-Neutral Moment-Based Estimation of Affine Option Pricing Models
Staff Working Paper 2017-55
Bruno Feunou,
Cédric Okou
This paper provides a novel methodology for estimating option pricing models based on risk-neutral moments. We synthesize the distribution extracted from a panel of option prices and exploit linear relationships between risk-neutral cumulants and latent factors within the continuous time affine stochastic volatility framework.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12
What Drives Episodes of Settlement Fails in the Government of Canada Bond Market?
Staff Working Paper 2017-54
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
James Pinnington,
Adrian Walton
We study settlement fails for trades in the Government of Canada bond market. We find that settlement fails do not occur independently. Using a novel and comprehensive dataset, we examine three drivers of fails.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
G,
G1,
G2,
G21,
L,
L1
Competing Currencies in the Laboratory
Staff Working Paper 2017-53
Janet Hua Jiang,
Cathy Zhang
We investigate competition between two intrinsically worthless currencies as a result of decentralized interactions between human subjects. We design a laboratory experiment based on a simple two-country, two-currency search model to study factors that affect circulation patterns and equilibrium selection.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Digital currencies and fintech
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
C92,
D,
D8,
D83,
E,
E4,
E40
Good Volatility, Bad Volatility and Option Pricing
Staff Working Paper 2017-52
Bruno Feunou,
Cédric Okou
Advances in variance analysis permit the splitting of the total quadratic variation of a
jump diffusion process into upside and downside components. Recent studies establish
that this decomposition enhances volatility predictions, and highlight the
upside/downside variance spread as a driver of the asymmetry in stock price
distributions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12
Identifying the Degree of Collusion Under Proportional Reduction
Staff Working Paper 2017-51
Oleksandr Shcherbakov,
Naoki Wakamori
Proportional reduction is a common cartel practice in which cartel members reduce their output proportionately. We develop a method to quantify this reduction relative to a benchmark market equilibrium scenario and relate the reduction to the traditional conduct parameter.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C36,
D,
D2,
D22,
L,
L4,
L41
Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax?
Staff Working Paper 2017-50
Christiane Baumeister,
Lutz Kilian,
Xiaoqing Zhou
The transmission of oil price shocks has been a question of central interest in macroeconomics since the 1970s. There has been renewed interest in this question after the large and persistent fall in the real price of oil in 2014–16. In the context of this debate, Ramey (2017) makes the striking claim that the existing literature on the transmission of oil price shocks is fundamentally confused about the question of how to quantify the effect of oil price shocks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C51,
Q,
Q4,
Q43
The Causal Impact of Migration on US Trade: Evidence from Political Refugees
Staff Working Paper 2017-49
Walter Steingress
Immigrants can increase international trade by shifting preferences towards the goods of their country of origin and by reducing bilateral transaction costs. Using geographical variation across U.S. states for the period 2008 to 2013, I estimate the respective causal impact of immigrants on U.S. exports and imports.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F14,
F2,
F22,
J,
J6,
J61