Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1306
result(s)
The (Un)Demand for Money in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2018-20
Casey Jones,
Geoffrey R. Dunbar
A novel dataset from the Bank of Canada is used to estimate the deposit functions for banknotes in Canada for three denominations: $1,000, $100 and $50. The broad flavour
of the empirical findings is that denominations are different monies, and the structural estimates identify the underlying sources of the non-neutrality.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C31,
C36,
E,
E4,
E41
The Political Impact of Immigration: Evidence from the United States
Staff Working Paper 2018-19
Anna Maria Mayda,
Giovanni Peri,
Walter Steingress
In this paper we study the impact of immigration to the United States on the vote for the Republican Party by analyzing county-level data on election outcomes between 1990 and 2010. Our main contribution is to separate the effect of high-skilled and low-skilled immigrants, by exploiting the different geography and timing of the inflows of these two groups of immigrants.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F2,
F22,
J,
J6,
J61
Housing Price Network Effects from Public Transit Investment: Evidence from Vancouver
Staff Working Paper 2018-18
Alex Chernoff,
Andrea Craig
In this paper, we estimate the effect on housing prices of the expansion of the Vancouver SkyTrain rapid transit network during the period 2001–11. We extend the canonical residential sorting equilibrium framework to include commuting time in the household utility function.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Economic models,
Housing
JEL Code(s):
H,
H4,
H41,
R,
R2,
R21,
R4,
R41
Could a Higher Inflation Target Enhance Macroeconomic Stability?
Staff Working Paper 2018-17
José Dorich,
Nicholas Labelle,
Vadym Lepetyuk,
Rhys R. Mendes
Recent international experience with the effective lower bound on nominal interest rates has rekindled interest in the benefits of inflation targets above 2 per cent. We evaluate whether an increase in the inflation target to 3 or 4 per cent could improve macroeconomic stability in the Canadian economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E37,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52
Order Flow Segmentation, Liquidity and Price Discovery: The Role of Latency Delays
Staff Working Paper 2018-16
Michael Brolley,
David Cimon
Latency delays—known as “speed bumps”—are an intentional slowing of order flow by exchanges. Supporters contend that delays protect market makers from high-frequency arbitrage, while opponents warn that delays promote “quote fading” by market makers. We construct a model of informed trading in a fragmented market, where one market operates a conventional order book and the other imposes a latency delay on market orders.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G14,
G18
Firm Dynamics and Multifactor Productivity: An Empirical Exploration
Staff Working Paper 2018-15
Pierre St-Amant,
David Tessier
There are indications that business dynamism has declined in advanced economies. In particular, firm entry and exit rates have fallen, suggesting that the creative destruction process has lost some of its vitality. Meanwhile, productivity growth has slowed. Some believe that lower entry and exit rates partly explain the weaker productivity growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D24,
M,
M1,
M13,
O,
O4,
O47
State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models
Staff Working Paper 2018-14
Luis Uzeda
Implications for signal extraction from specifying unobserved components (UC) models with correlated or orthogonal innovations have been well investigated. In contrast, the forecasting implications of specifying UC models with different state correlation structures are less well understood.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C11,
C15,
C5,
C51,
C53
Did U.S. Consumers Respond to the 2014–2015 Oil Price Shock? Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey
Staff Working Paper 2018-13
Patrick Alexander,
Louis Poirier
The impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy is a topic of considerable debate. In this paper, we examine the response of U.S. consumers to the 2014–2015 negative oil price shock using representative survey data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Domestic demand and components,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D12,
E,
E2,
E21,
Q,
Q4,
Q43
Can Media and Text Analytics Provide Insights into Labour Market Conditions in China?
Staff Working Paper 2018-12
Jeannine Bailliu,
Xinfen Han,
Mark Kruger,
Yu-Hsien Liu,
Sri Thanabalasingam
The official Chinese labour market indicators have been seen as problematic, given their small cyclical movement and their only-partial capture of the labour force. In our paper, we build a monthly Chinese labour market conditions index (LMCI) using text analytics applied to mainland Chinese-language newspapers over the period from 2003 to 2017.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
C5,
C55,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27