Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1306
result(s)
The BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database Revisited: What’s New in 2018?
Staff Working Paper 2018-30
David Beers,
Jamshid Mavalwalla
Until recently, there have been few efforts to systematically measure and aggregate the nominal value of the different types of sovereign government debt in default. To help fill this gap, the Bank of Canada’s Credit Rating Assessment Group (CRAG) has developed a comprehensive database of sovereign defaults posted on the Bank of Canada’s website that now is updated in partnership with the Bank of England.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Development economics,
Financial stability,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F34,
G,
G1,
G10,
G14,
G15
A Look Inside the Box: Combining Aggregate and Marginal Distributions to Identify Joint Distributions
Staff Working Paper 2018-29
Marie-Hélène Felt
This paper proposes a method for estimating the joint distribution of two or more variables when only their marginal distributions and the distribution of their aggregates are observed. Nonparametric identification is achieved by modelling dependence using a latent common-factor structure.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C14,
D,
D1,
D14,
E,
E4,
E41
Bootstrapping Mean Squared Errors of Robust Small-Area Estimators: Application to the Method-of-Payments Data
Staff Working Paper 2018-28
Valéry Dongmo Jiongo,
Pierre Nguimkeu
This paper proposes a new bootstrap procedure for mean squared errors of robust small-area estimators. We formally prove the asymptotic validity of the proposed bootstrap method and examine its finite sample performance through Monte Carlo simulations.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C13,
C15,
C8,
C83,
E,
E4,
E41
Swedish Riksbank Notes and Enskilda Bank Notes: Lessons for Digital Currencies
Staff Working Paper 2018-27
Ben Fung,
Scott Hendry,
Warren E. Weber
This paper examines the experience of Sweden with government notes and private bank notes to determine how well the Swedish experience corresponds to that of Canada and the United States. Sweden is important to study because it has had government notes in circulation for more than 350 years, and it had government notes before private bank notes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E42,
E5,
E58
Reconciling Jaimovich-Rebelo Preferences, Habit in Consumption and Labor Supply
Staff Working Paper 2018-26
Tom D. Holden,
Paul Levine,
Jonathan Swarbrick
This note studies a form of a utility function of consumption with habit and leisure that (a) is compatible with long-run balanced growth, (b) hits a steady-state observed target for hours worked and (c) is consistent with micro-econometric evidence for the inter-temporal elasticity of substitution and the Frisch elasticity of labor supply.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E24
On the Evolution of the United Kingdom Price Distributions
Staff Working Paper 2018-25
Ba M. Chu,
Kim Huynh,
David T. Jacho-Chávez,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov
We propose a functional principal components method that accounts for stratified random sample weighting and time dependence in the observations to understand the evolution of distributions of monthly micro-level consumer prices for the United Kingdom (UK).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C14,
C8,
C83,
E,
E3,
E31,
E37
Ambiguity, Nominal Bond Yields and Real Bond Yields
Staff Working Paper 2018-24
Guihai Zhao
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal yield curves. We develop a model that can generate upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves by instead using ambiguity about inflation and growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
G,
G0,
G00,
G1,
G12
Noisy Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2018-23
Tatjana Dahlhaus,
Luca Gambetti
We introduce limited information in monetary policy. Agents receive signals from the central bank revealing new information (“news") about the future evolution of the policy rate before changes in the rate actually take place. However, the signal is disturbed by noise.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Monetary policy implementation,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C18,
C3,
C32,
E,
E0,
E02,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52
Uncovered Return Parity: Equity Returns and Currency Returns
Staff Working Paper 2018-22
Edouard Djeutem,
Geoffrey R. Dunbar
We propose an uncovered expected returns parity (URP) condition for the bilateral spot exchange rate. URP implies that unilateral exchange rate equations are misspecified and that equity returns also affect exchange rates. Fama regressions provide evidence that URP is statistically preferred to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) for nominal bilateral exchange rates between the US dollar and six countries (Australia, Canada, Japan, Norway, Switzerland and the UK) at the monthly frequency.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Exchange rates,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G15