Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1320
result(s)
Systemic Risk and Collateral Adequacy
Staff Working Paper 2019-23
Radoslav Raykov
Many derivatives markets use collateral requirements calculated with industry-standard but dated methods that are not designed with systemic risk in mind. This paper explores whether the conservative nature of conventional collateral requirements outweighs their lack of consideration of systemic risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20
Online Privacy and Information Disclosure by Consumers
Staff Working Paper 2019-22
Shota Ichihashi
A consumer discloses information to a multi-product seller, which learns about the consumer’s preferences, sets prices, and makes product recommendations. While the consumer benefits from accurate product recommendations, the seller may use the information to price discriminate.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
D83
Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments
Staff Working Paper 2019-21
Oleksiy Kryvtsov,
Luba Petersen
We use controlled laboratory experiments to test the causal effects of central bank communication on economic expectations and to distinguish the underlying mechanisms of those effects. In an experiment where subjects learn to forecast economic variables, we find that central bank communication has a stabilizing effect on individual and aggregate outcomes and that the size of the effect varies with the type of communication.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy implementation,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
D,
D8,
D84,
E,
E3,
E5,
E52
Bank Market Power and Central Bank Digital Currency: Theory and Quantitative Assessment
Staff Working Paper 2019-20
Jonathan Chiu,
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini,
Janet Hua Jiang,
Yu Zhu
We show that issuing a deposit-like central bank digital currency (CBDC) with a proper interest rate would encourage banks to pay higher interest to keep their customers. Banks would then attract more deposits and offer more loans. Hence, a CBDC would not necessarily crowd out private banking.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E50,
E58
Reassessing Trade Barriers with Global Value Chains
Staff Working Paper 2019-19
Yuko Imura
This paper provides a systematic, quantitative analysis of the short-run and long-run effects of various trade-restricting policies in the presence of global value chains and multinational production.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Firm dynamics,
International topics,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F12,
F13,
F4,
F41
Entrepreneurial Incentives and the Role of Initial Coin Offerings
Staff Working Paper 2019-18
Rodney J. Garratt,
Maarten van Oordt
Initial coin offerings (ICOs) are a new mode of financing start-ups that saw an explosion in popularity in 2017 but declined in popularity in the second half of 2018 as regulatory pressure, instances of fraud and reports of poor performance began to undermine their reputation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Exchange rates
JEL Code(s):
G,
G3,
G32
Estimating the Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Total Exports
Staff Working Paper 2019-17
Thierry Mayer,
Walter Steingress
This paper shows that real effective exchange rate (REER) regressions, the standard approach for estimating the response of aggregate exports to exchange rate changes, imply biased estimates of the underlying elasticities. We provide a new aggregate regression specification that is consistent with bilateral trade flows micro-founded by the gravity equation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F11,
F12,
F3,
F31,
F32
Composite Likelihood Estimation of an Autoregressive Panel Probit Model with Random Effects
Staff Working Paper 2019-16
Kerem Tuzcuoglu
Modeling and estimating persistent discrete data can be challenging. In this paper, we use an autoregressive panel probit model where the autocorrelation in the discrete variable is driven by the autocorrelation in the latent variable. In such a non-linear model, the autocorrelation in an unobserved variable results in an intractable likelihood containing high-dimensional integrals.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit risk management,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C23,
C25,
C5,
C58,
G,
G2,
G24
Labor Mobility in a Monetary Union
Staff Working Paper 2019-15
Daniela Hauser,
Martin Seneca
The optimal currency literature has stressed the importance of labor mobility as a precondition for the success of monetary unions. But only a few studies formally link labor mobility to macroeconomic adjustment and policy. In this paper, we study macroeconomic dynamics and optimal monetary policy in an economy with cyclical labor flows across two distinct regions that share trade links and a common monetary framework.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy framework,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4