Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1320
result(s)
Interbank Asset-Liability Networks with Fire Sale Management
Staff Working Paper 2020-41
Zachary Feinstein,
Grzegorz Halaj
Raising liquidity when funding is stressed creates pressure on the financial market. Liquidating large quantities of assets depresses their prices and may amplify funding shocks. How do banks weathering a funding crisis contribute to contagion risk?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C62,
C63,
C7,
C72,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G11
Forward Guidance and Expectation Formation: A Narrative Approach
Staff Working Paper 2020-40
Christopher S. Sutherland
How exactly does forward guidance influence interest rate expectations?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy communications,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
D84,
E,
E3,
E37,
E5,
E52,
E58
The New Benchmark for Forecasts of the Real Price of Crude Oil
Staff Working Paper 2020-39
Amor Aniss Benmoussa,
Reinhard Ellwanger,
Stephen Snudden
How can we assess the quality of a forecast? We propose a new benchmark to evaluate forecasts of temporally aggregated series and show that the real price of oil is more difficult to predict than we thought.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C5,
C53,
Q,
Q4,
Q47
Cyclicality of Schooling: New Evidence from Unobserved Components Models
Staff Working Paper 2020-38
Barbara Sadaba,
Sunčica Vujič,
Sofia Maier
What is the time-varying impact of economic cycles on decisions to invest in human capital?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
E,
E3,
I,
I2,
J,
J2
Predicting Payment Migration in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2020-37
Anneke Kosse,
Zhentong Lu,
Gabriel Xerri
Developments are underway to replace Canada’s two core payment systems with three new systems. We use a discrete choice model to predict migration patterns of end-users and financial institutions for future systems and discuss their policy implications.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial services,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
E,
E4,
E42,
G,
G1,
G2,
G28
Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments
Staff Working Paper 2020-36
Elizabeth Caucutt,
Lance Lochner,
Joseph Mullins,
Youngmin Park
Can daycare replace parents’ time spent with children? We explore this by using data on how parents spend time and money on children and how this spending is related to their child’s development.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Fiscal policy,
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D13,
H,
H3,
H31,
J,
J2,
J22,
J24
Why Do Central Banks Make Public Announcements of Open Market Operations?
Staff Working Paper 2020-35
Narayan Bulusu
Central banks communicate the results of open market operations. This helps participants in financial markets more accurately estimate the prevailing demand and supply conditions in the market for overnight loans.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
D,
D5,
D52,
E,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G21
Monetary Policy and Cross-Border Interbank Market Fragmentation: Lessons from the Crisis
Staff Working Paper 2020-34
Tobias Blattner,
Jonathan Swarbrick
We present a two-country model featuring risky lending and cross-border interbank market frictions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
International financial markets,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
F,
F3,
F32,
F36
Survival Analysis of Bank Note Circulation: Fitness, Network Structure and Machine Learning
Staff Working Paper 2020-33
Diego Rojas,
Juan Estrada,
Kim Huynh,
David T. Jacho-Chávez
Using the Bank of Canada's Currency Information Management Strategy, we analyze the network structure traced by a bank note’s travel in circulation and find that the denomination of the bank note is important in our potential understanding of the demand and use of cash.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C52,
C6,
C65,
C8,
C81,
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E51