Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1320
result(s)
The Side Effects of Safe Asset Creation
Staff Working Paper 2021-34
Sushant Acharya,
Keshav Dogra
The secular decline in real interest rates has created a challenge for monetary policy, now confronting the zero lower bound more often. An increase in the supply of safe assets reduces downward pressure on the natural interest rate. This allows monetary policy to reach price stability and full employment, but not without cost—permanently lower investment.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Fiscal policy,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E4,
E5,
G,
G1,
H,
H6
The Anatomy of Sentiment-Driven Fluctuations
Staff Working Paper 2021-33
Sushant Acharya,
Jess Benhabib,
Zhen Huo
We show that changes in sentiment that aren’t related to fundamentals can drive persistent macroeconomic fluctuations even when all economic agents are rational. Changes in sentiment can also affect how fundamental shocks affect macroeconomic outcomes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E20,
E3,
E32,
F,
F4,
F44
The Effects of Government Licensing on E-commerce: Evidence from Alibaba
Staff Working Paper 2021-32
Ginger Zhe Jin,
Zhentong Lu,
Xiaolu Zhou,
Chunxiao Li
How does government licensing affect selling on online platforms? We examine the impact of China’s 2015 Food Safety Law on sellers and buyers on Alibaba, the largest e-commerce platform in that country.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Market structure and pricing,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
K,
K2,
K23,
L,
L5,
L8,
L81
An Optimal Macroprudential Policy Mix for Segmented Credit Markets
Staff Working Paper 2021-31
Jelena Zivanovic
How can macroprudential policy and monetary policy stabilize segmented credit markets? Is there a trade-off between financial stability and price stability? I use a theoretical model to evaluate the performance of alternative policies and find the optimal mix of macroprudential and monetary policy in response to aggregate shocks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Credit risk management,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E30,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E50
Bank Runs, Bank Competition and Opacity
Staff Working Paper 2021-30
Toni Ahnert,
David Martinez-Miera
How is the stability of the financial sector affected by competition in the deposit market and by decisions banks make about transparency? We find that policies that aim to increase bank competition lead to higher bank deposit rates, increasing both withdrawal incentives and instability.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Wholesale funding
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G2,
G21
A New Measure of Monetary Policy Shocks
Staff Working Paper 2021-29
Xu Zhang
Combining various high frequency financial data with central bank projections, I construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks not predictable by the public information preceding a central bank’s announcements. I then study the causal effects of monetary policy on the macro economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
G,
G0
Consumer Cash Withdrawal Behaviour: Branch Networks and Online Financial Innovation
Staff Working Paper 2021-28
Heng Chen,
Matthew Strathearn,
Marcel Voia
The physical network of bank branches is important in how consumers manage their cash holdings. This paper estimates how consumer withdrawal behaviour responds to the distance they must travel to their branch.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G21,
R,
R2,
R22
Monetary Policy, Trends in Real Interest Rates and Depressed Demand
Staff Working Paper 2021-27
Paul Beaudry,
Césaire Meh
Over the last few decades, real interest rates have trended downward. The most common explanation is that this reflects depressed demand due to demographic, technological and other real factors. We explore the claim that these trends may have been amplified by certain features of monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Economic models,
Fiscal policy,
Inflation and prices,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E4,
E43,
E44,
E5,
E52,
E6,
E62,
E63,
H,
H3,
H6,
H63
The Geography of Pandemic Containment
Staff Working Paper 2021-26
Elisa Giannone,
Nuno Paixao,
Xinle Pang
Interconnectedness between US states has affected the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. We study the optimal containment policies regulating the movement of goods and people within and between states.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Economic models,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
H,
H0,
I,
I1,
R,
R1