Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1320
result(s)
A Q-Theory of Banks
Staff Working Paper 2021-44
Juliane Beganau,
Saki Bigio,
Jeremy Majerovitz,
Matías Vieyra
Using stock market data on banks, we show that the book value of loans recognizes losses with a delay. This delayed accounting is important for regulation because the requirements regulators impose are based on book values.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G2,
G21,
G3,
G32,
G33
Payment Habits During COVID-19: Evidence from High-Frequency Transaction Data
Staff Working Paper 2021-43
Tatjana Dahlhaus,
Angelika Welte
We examine how consumers have adjusted their payment habits during the COVID-19 pandemic. They seem to perform fewer transactions, spend more in each transaction, use less cash at the point of sale and withdraw cash from ATMs linked to their financial institution more often than from other ATMs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Domestic demand and components,
Payment clearing and settlement systems,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
C5,
C55,
D,
D1,
D12,
E,
E2,
E21,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E52
From He-Cession to She-Stimulus? The Labor Market Impact of Fiscal Policy Across Gender
Staff Working Paper 2021-42
Alica Ida Bonk,
Laure Simon
The effects of fiscal policy shocks on labour market outcomes across gender depend on the type of public expenditure. Women benefit most from increases in the government wage bill, while men are the main beneficiaries of higher investment spending.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Fiscal policy,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E6,
E62,
J,
J1,
J16,
J2,
J21
Fiscal Spillovers: The Case of US Corporate and Personal Income Taxes
Staff Working Paper 2021-41
Madeline Hanson,
Daniela Hauser,
Romanos Priftis
How do changes to personal and corporate income tax rates in the United States affect its trading partners? Spillover effects from cuts in the two taxes differ. They are generally small and negative for corporate taxes, but sizable and positive for personal income taxes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rate regimes,
Fiscal policy,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E6,
E62,
F,
F4,
F44,
H,
H2,
H20
Measuring the Effectiveness of Salespeople: Evidence from a Cold-Drink Market
Staff Working Paper 2021-40
Haofeng Jin,
Zhentong Lu
Salespeople are widely employed in many industries. We leverage a unique data set on retail sales from a leading Chinese cold-drink manufacturer and information on the firm’s salespeople assignment rule to measure the causal effect of salespeople on product revenue.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Labour markets,
Service sector
JEL Code(s):
L,
L8,
L81,
M,
M3,
M5
Centralizing Over-the-Counter Markets?
Staff Working Paper 2021-39
Jason Allen,
Milena Wittwer
Would a shift in trading in fixed-income markets—from over the counter (bilateral trading) to a centralized electronic platform—improve welfare? We use trade-level data on the secondary market for Government of Canada debt to answer this question.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D40,
D47,
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20,
L,
L1,
L10
Monetary Policy and the Persistent Aggregate Effects of Wealth Redistribution
Staff Working Paper 2021-38
Martin Kuncl,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
Monetary policy in the presence of nominal debt and labour supply heterogeneity creates a policy trade-off: a short-term economic stimulus leads to persistently reduced output over the medium term. Price-level targeting weakens this trade-off and is better able to stabilize inflation and output than inflation targeting.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E5,
E50
Estimating Large-Dimensional Connectedness Tables: The Great Moderation Through the Lens of Sectoral Spillovers
Staff Working Paper 2021-37
Felix Brunner,
Ruben Hipp
Understanding the size of sectoral links is crucial to predicting the impact of a crisis on the whole economy. We show that statistical learning techniques substantially outperform traditional estimation techniques when measuring large networks of these links.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
C5,
C52,
E,
E2,
E23,
E27
Tariffs and the Exchange Rate: Evidence from Twitter
Staff Working Paper 2021-36
Dmitry Matveev,
Francisco Ruge-Murcia
Do tariffs affect exchange rates? We look at President Trump’s tweets during talks on the North American Free Trade Agreement and find that anticipation of higher tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico led to an appreciation of the US dollar relative to Canadian and Mexican currency.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F13,
F3,
F31