Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1306
result(s)
Inflation Expectations and Learning about Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2002-30
David Andolfatto,
Scott Hendry,
Kevin Moran
Various measures indicate that inflation expectations evolve sluggishly relative to actual inflation. In addition, they often fail conventional tests of unbiasedness.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E47,
E5,
E52,
E58
Exponentials, Polynomials, and Fourier Series: More Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada
Staff Working Paper 2002-29
David Bolder,
Scott Gusba
This paper continues the work started by Bolder and Stréliski (1999) and considers two alternative classes of models for extracting zero-coupon and forward rates from a set of observed Government of Canada bond and treasury-bill prices.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C6,
E,
E4,
G,
G1
Filtering for Current Analysis
Staff Working Paper 2002-28
Simon van Norden
This paper shows how existing band-pass filtering techniques and their extension can be applied to the common current-analysis problem of estimating current trends or cycles.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1
Habit Formation and the Persistence of Monetary Shocks
Staff Working Paper 2002-27
Hafedh Bouakez,
Emanuela Cardia,
Francisco Ruge-Murcia
This paper studies the persistent effects of monetary shocks on output. Previous empirical literature documents this persistence, but standard general-equilibrium models with sticky prices fail to generate output responses beyond the duration of nominal contracts.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E4,
E5
Nominal Rigidity, Desired Markup Variations, and Real Exchange Rate Persistence
Staff Working Paper 2002-26
Hafedh Bouakez
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic general-equilibrium sticky-price model that accounts for real exchange rate persistence.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
F4,
F41
Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy in Canada Since 1981
Staff Working Paper 2002-25
Ali Dib
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic, stochastic, general-equilibrium model with price and wage stickiness to analyze monetary policy in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E32,
E5,
E52
Financial Structure and Economic Growth: A Non-Technical Survey
Staff Working Paper 2002-24
Veronika Dolar,
Césaire Meh
There is a large body of literature that studies the relationship between financial structure (that is, the degree to which the financial system is either market- or intermediary-based) and long-run economic growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Development economics,
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F36,
G,
G0,
G00,
G1,
G14,
G2,
G21,
K,
K2,
K22,
O,
O1,
O16
How to Improve Inflation Targeting at the Bank of Canada
Staff Working Paper 2002-23
Nicholas Rowe
This paper shows that if the Bank of Canada is optimally adjusting its monetary policy instrument in response to inflation indicators to target 2 per cent inflation at a two-year horizon, then deviations of inflation from 2 per cent represent the Bank's forecast errors, and should be uncorrelated with its information set, which includes two-year lagged values of the instrument and the indicators. Positive or negative correlations are evidence of systematic errors in monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary and financial indicators,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5
The Usefulness of Consumer Confidence Indexes in the United States
Staff Working Paper 2002-22
Brigitte Desroches,
Marc-André Gosselin
This paper assesses the usefulness of consumer confidence indexes in forecasting aggregate consumer spending in the United States.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Domestic demand and components,
Economic models,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D12,
E,
E2,
E21,
E27