Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1320
result(s)
A Structural VAR Approach to the Intertemporal Model of the Current Account
Staff Working Paper 2003-42
Takashi Kano
The intertemporal current account approach predicts that the current account of a small open economy is independent of global shocks, and that responses of the current account to country-specific shocks depend on the persistence of the shocks. The author shows that these predictions impose cross-equation restrictions (CERS) on a structural vector autoregression (SVAR).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Balance of payments and components,
Monetary aggregates
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F32,
F4,
F41
Anatomy of a Twin Crisis
Staff Working Paper 2003-41
Raphael Solomon
The author presents a model of a twin crisis, in which foreign and domestic residents play a banking game. Both "honest" and run equilibria of the post-deposit subgame exist; some run equilibria lead to a currency crisis, as agents convert domestic currency to foreign currency.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial institutions
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E58,
F,
F3,
F30,
G,
G2,
G21
Poignée de main invisible et persistance des cycles économiques : une revue de la littérature
Staff Working Paper 2003-40
Christian Calmès
The author explains how self-enforcing labour contracts can enhance the performance of macroeconomic models. He exposes the benefits of using these dynamic contracts to account for some puzzling macroeconomic facts regarding the dynamics and persistence of employment, consumption and output.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E12,
E4,
E49,
J,
J3,
J30,
J31,
J4,
J41
Alternative Targeting Regimes, Transmission Lags, and the Exchange Rate Channel
Staff Working Paper 2003-39
Jean-Paul Lam
Using a closed-economy model, Jensen (2002) and Walsh (2003) have, respectively, shown that a policy regime that optimally targets nominal income growth (NIT) or the change in the output gap (SLT) outperforms a regime that targets inflation, because NIT and SLT induce more inertia in the actions of the central bank, effectively replicating the outcome obtained under precommitment. The author obtains a very different result when the analysis is extended to open-economy models.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
E58
Simple Monetary Policy Rules in an Open-Economy, Limited-Participation Model
Staff Working Paper 2003-38
Scott Hendry,
Wai-Ming Ho,
Kevin Moran
The authors assess the stabilization properties of simple monetary policy rules within the context of a small open-economy model constructed around the limited-participation assumption and calibrated to salient features of the Canadian economy. By relying on limited participation as the main nominal friction that affects the artificial economy, the authors provide an important check of the robustness of the results obtained using alternative environments in the literature on monetary policy rules, most notably the now-standard "New Keynesian" paradigm that emphasizes rigidities in the price-setting mechanism.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
E58,
F,
F3,
F31
Financial Constraints and Investment: Assessing the Impact of a World Bank Loan Program on Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in Sri Lanka
Staff Working Paper 2003-37
Varouj Aivazian,
Dipak Mazumdar,
Eric Santor
The authors examine the investment behaviour of a sample of small, credit-constrained firms in Sri Lanka. Using a unique panel-data set, they analyze and compare the activities of two groups of small firms distinguished by their different access to financing; one group consists of firms with heavily subsidized loans from the World Bank, and the other consists of firms without such subsidies.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Development economics
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G00,
O,
O1,
O16
Excess Collateral in the LVTS: How Much is Too Much?
Staff Working Paper 2003-36
Kim McPhail,
Anastasia Vakos
The authors build a theoretical model that generates demand for collateral by Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) participants under the assumption that they minimize the cost of holding and managing collateral for LVTS purposes. The model predicts that the optimal amount of collateral held by each LVTS participant depends on the opportunity cost of collateral, the transactions costs of acquiring assets used as collateral and transferring them in and out of the LVTS, and the distribution of an LVTS participant's payment flows in the LVTS.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G2,
G21
Real Exchange Rate Persistence in Dynamic General-Equilibrium Sticky-Price Models: An Analytical Characterization
Staff Working Paper 2003-35
Hafedh Bouakez
This paper assesses analytically the ability of dynamic general-equilibrium sticky-price models to generate persistent real exchange rate fluctuations. It develops a tractable general-equilibrium model with Calvo-type price stickiness.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Exchange rates,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
F4,
F41
Governance and Financial Fragility: Evidence from a Cross-Section of Countries
Staff Working Paper 2003-34
Michael Francis
The author explores the role of governance mechanisms as a means of reducing financial fragility. First, he develops a simple theoretical general-equilibrium model in which instability arises due to an agency problem resulting from a conflict of interest between the borrower and lender.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0