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449
result(s)
Canadian Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Conditions
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-4
Thibaut Duprey
Severe disruptions in the financial markets, as observed during the 2008 global financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, can impair the stability of the entire financial system and worsen macroeconomic downturns.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G0,
G01
A Simple Method for Extracting the Probability of Default from American Put Option Prices
Staff Working Paper 2020-15
Bo Young Chang,
Greg Orosi
A put option is a financial contract that gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a specific price by (or at) a specific date. A put option can therefore provide its holder insurance against a large drop in the stock price. This makes the prices of put options an ideal source of information for a market-based measure of the probability of a firm’s default.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G13,
G3,
G33
Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields
Staff Working Paper 2020-14
Guihai Zhao
This equilibrium model explains the trend in long-term yields and business-cycle movements in short-term yields and yield spreads. The less-frequent inverted yield curves (and less-frequent recessions) after the 1990s are due to recent secular stagnation and procyclical inflation expectations.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
G,
G0,
G00,
G1,
G12
Multi-Product Pricing: Theory and Evidence from Large Retailers in Israel
Staff Working Paper 2020-12
Marco Bonomo,
Carlos Carvalho,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov,
Sigal Ribon,
Rodolfo Rigato
Standard theories of price adjustment are based on the problem of a single-product firm, and therefore they may not be well suited to analyze price dynamics in the economy with multiproduct firms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D21,
D22,
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
L,
L1,
L11
Optimal Taxation in Asset Markets with Adverse Selection
Staff Working Paper 2020-11
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini
What is the optimal tax schedule in over-the-counter markets, e.g., those for corporate bonds? I find that an optimal tax schedule is often non-monotonic. For example, trading of some high-price assets should be subsidized, and trading of some low-price assets should be taxed.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
D83,
E,
E2,
E24,
G,
G1,
G10,
J,
J3,
J31,
J6,
J64
Do Protectionist Trade Policies Integrate Domestic Markets? Evidence from the Canada-U.S. Softwood Lumber Dispute
Staff Working Paper 2020-10
Jinggang Guo,
Craig Johnston
We consider the effects of protectionist trade policies on international and domestic market integration, using evidence from the long-standing softwood lumber trade dispute between Canada and the United States.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Market structure and pricing,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F13,
Q,
Q1,
Q17
Welfare Analysis of Equilibria With and Without Early Termination Fees in the US Wireless Industry
Staff Working Paper 2020-9
Joseph Cullen,
Nicolas Schutz,
Oleksandr Shcherbakov
The elimination of long-term contracts and early termination fees (ETFs) in the US wireless industry at the end of 2015 increased monthly service fees by 2 to 5 percent. Nevertheless, consumers are clearly better off without ETFs. While firms’ revenues from ETFs vanish, their profits from monthly fees increase. As a result, the overall effect on producer profits is less clear.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Firm dynamics,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D22,
L,
L1,
L15,
L9,
L96
The Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Asset Markets: Evidence from Oil Inventory News
Staff Working Paper 2020-8
Ron Alquist,
Reinhard Ellwanger,
Jianjian Jin
We quantify the reaction of U.S. equity, bond futures, and exchange rate returns to oil price shocks driven by oil inventory news.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G1,
G14,
G15,
Q,
Q4,
Q41,
Q43
Identifying Consumer-Welfare Changes when Online Search Platforms Change Their List of Search Results
Staff Working Paper 2020-5
Ryan Martin
Online shopping is often guided by search platforms. Consumers type keywords into query boxes, and search platforms deliver a list of products. Consumers' attention is limited, and exhaustive searches are often impractical.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C14,
D,
D1,
D11,
D12,
D6,
D8,
D83,
L,
L4,
L40