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287
result(s)
Potential output in Canada: 2020 reassessment
Staff Analytical Note 2020-25
Dany Brouillette,
Julien Champagne,
Julien McDonald-Guimond
After COVID-19, we expect potential output growth to stabilize around 1.2 percent. This is lower than the 2010–18 average growth of 1.8 percent. Relative to the April 2019 reassessment, the growth profile is revised down. Given the unknown course of the pandemic, uncertainty around these estimates is higher than in previous years.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E0,
E00,
E2,
E23,
E24,
E3,
E37,
E6
Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments
Staff Working Paper 2020-36
Elizabeth Caucutt,
Lance Lochner,
Joseph Mullins,
Youngmin Park
Can daycare replace parents’ time spent with children? We explore this by using data on how parents spend time and money on children and how this spending is related to their child’s development.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Fiscal policy,
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D13,
H,
H3,
H31,
J,
J2,
J22,
J24
Will exchange-traded funds shape the future of bond dealing?
Staff Analytical Note 2020-16
Rohan Arora,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Corey Garriott,
Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc
Bond dealers have traditionally kept bonds in an inventory until clients buy them. But now, dealers have another way to access bonds for their clients: the exchange-traded fund. We discuss this new way to manage bond dealing and what it might mean for bond markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G2,
G20,
G23
Dynamic Competition in Negotiated Price Markets
Staff Working Paper 2020-22
Jason Allen,
Shaoteng Li
Repeated interactions between borrowers and lenders create the possibility of dynamic pricing: lenders compete aggressively with low prices to attract new borrowers and then raise their prices once borrowers have made a commitment. We find such pricing patterns in the Canadian mortgage market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial services,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
G,
G2,
G21,
L,
L2
Trading on Long-term Information
Staff Working Paper 2020-20
Corey Garriott,
Ryan Riordan
Investors who trade based on good research are said to be the backbone of stock markets: They conduct research to discover the value of stocks and, through their trading, guide financial prices to reflect true value. What can make their job difficult is that high-speed, short-term traders could use machine learning and other technologies to infer when informed investors are trading.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G14,
G2,
G20,
L,
L1
The Market for Acquiring Card Payments from Small and Medium-Sized Canadian Merchants
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-5
Angelika Welte,
Jozsef Molnar
This note uses industry data and a unique dataset of small and medium-sized merchants to provide insights into the acquirer-merchant market in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial services,
Market structure and pricing,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
D,
D2,
E,
E4,
E42
A Simple Method for Extracting the Probability of Default from American Put Option Prices
Staff Working Paper 2020-15
Bo Young Chang,
Greg Orosi
A put option is a financial contract that gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a specific price by (or at) a specific date. A put option can therefore provide its holder insurance against a large drop in the stock price. This makes the prices of put options an ideal source of information for a market-based measure of the probability of a firm’s default.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G13,
G3,
G33
Multi-Product Pricing: Theory and Evidence from Large Retailers in Israel
Staff Working Paper 2020-12
Marco Bonomo,
Carlos Carvalho,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov,
Sigal Ribon,
Rodolfo Rigato
Standard theories of price adjustment are based on the problem of a single-product firm, and therefore they may not be well suited to analyze price dynamics in the economy with multiproduct firms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D21,
D22,
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
L,
L1,
L11
Optimal Taxation in Asset Markets with Adverse Selection
Staff Working Paper 2020-11
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini
What is the optimal tax schedule in over-the-counter markets, e.g., those for corporate bonds? I find that an optimal tax schedule is often non-monotonic. For example, trading of some high-price assets should be subsidized, and trading of some low-price assets should be taxed.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
D83,
E,
E2,
E24,
G,
G1,
G10,
J,
J3,
J31,
J6,
J64