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156
result(s)
Can Capital Deepening Explain the Global Decline in Labor’s Share?
Staff Working Paper 2019-3
Andrew Glover,
Jacob Short
We estimate an aggregate elasticity of substitution between capital and labor near or below one, which implies that capital deepening cannot explain the global decline in labor's share. Our methodology derives from transition paths in the neo-classical growth model.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics,
International topics,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E13,
E2,
E22,
E25,
J,
J3
The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2018-56
Lutz Kilian,
Xiaoqing Zhou
How do global oil price shocks spread through Canada’s economy? With Canada’s regionally diverse economy in mind, we explore the implications of oil price shocks for Canadian housing markets and regional economies. We show that the belief that oil price shocks only matter in oil-rich regions is false.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Housing,
International topics,
Labour markets,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
F,
F4,
F43,
Q,
Q3,
Q33,
Q4,
Q43,
R,
R1,
R12,
R3,
R31
Reconciling Jaimovich-Rebelo Preferences, Habit in Consumption and Labor Supply
Staff Working Paper 2018-26
Tom D. Holden,
Paul Levine,
Jonathan Swarbrick
This note studies a form of a utility function of consumption with habit and leisure that (a) is compatible with long-run balanced growth, (b) hits a steady-state observed target for hours worked and (c) is consistent with micro-econometric evidence for the inter-temporal elasticity of substitution and the Frisch elasticity of labor supply.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E24
Applying the Wage-Common to Canadian Provinces
Staff Analytical Note 2018-16
Jonathan Lachaine
As at the national level, available sources of hourly wage data for Canadian provinces sometimes send conflicting signals about wage growth. This note has two objectives. First, we develop a common measure of provincial wages (the provincial wage-common) to better capture the underlying wage pressures, reflecting the overall trend across all data sources.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
J,
J3
Bending the Curves: Wages and Inflation
Staff Analytical Note 2018-15
Dany Brouillette,
Madigan Dockrill,
Helen Lao,
Laurence Savoie-Chabot
As economic slack continues to be absorbed and the labour market tightens, wage growth and inflation could increase faster than expected, which would suggest convexity in their Phillips curves. This note investigates whether there is convexity in the Phillips curves for Canadian wage growth and inflation by testing different empirical approaches over the post-inflation-targeting period.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
E3,
E31,
J,
J3
The Political Impact of Immigration: Evidence from the United States
Staff Working Paper 2018-19
Anna Maria Mayda,
Giovanni Peri,
Walter Steingress
In this paper we study the impact of immigration to the United States on the vote for the Republican Party by analyzing county-level data on election outcomes between 1990 and 2010. Our main contribution is to separate the effect of high-skilled and low-skilled immigrants, by exploiting the different geography and timing of the inflows of these two groups of immigrants.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F2,
F22,
J,
J6,
J61
Potential Output in Canada: 2018 Reassessment
Staff Analytical Note 2018-10
Andrew Agopsowicz,
Dany Brouillette,
Bassirou Gueye,
Julien McDonald-Guimond,
Jeffrey Mollins,
Youngmin Park
This note summarizes the reassessment of potential output, conducted by the Bank of Canada for the April 2018 Monetary Policy Report. Overall, the profile for potential output growth is expected to remain flat at 1.8 per cent between 2018 and 2020 and 1.9 per cent in 2021.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E0,
E00,
E2,
E22,
E23,
E24,
E3,
E37,
E6
Can Media and Text Analytics Provide Insights into Labour Market Conditions in China?
Staff Working Paper 2018-12
Jeannine Bailliu,
Xinfen Han,
Mark Kruger,
Yu-Hsien Liu,
Sri Thanabalasingam
The official Chinese labour market indicators have been seen as problematic, given their small cyclical movement and their only-partial capture of the labour force. In our paper, we build a monthly Chinese labour market conditions index (LMCI) using text analytics applied to mainland Chinese-language newspapers over the period from 2003 to 2017.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
C5,
C55,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27
Wages: Measurement and Key Drivers
Staff Analytical Note 2018-2
Dany Brouillette,
Jonathan Lachaine,
Benoit Vincent
Available sources of hourly wage data in Canada sometimes send conflicting signals about wage growth. This note thus has two objectives: first, we develop a wage measure—the wage-common—to better capture the (underlying) wage pressures reflecting the common trend across the available data sources. Second, we re-examine the relationship between wage growth and macro drivers (labour market slack and labour productivity).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
J,
J3