December 23, 2006
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786
result(s)
Stress Testing the Corporate Loans Portfolio of the Canadian Banking Sector
Staff Working Paper 2006-47
Miroslav Misina,
David Tessier,
Shubhasis Dey
Stress testing, at its most general level, is an investigation of the performance of an entity under abnormal operating conditions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
G,
G2,
G21,
G3,
G33
The Role of Debt and Equity Finance over the Business Cycle
Staff Working Paper 2006-45
Francisco Covas,
Wouter den Haan
The authors show that debt and equity issuance are procyclical for most listed U.S. firms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
G,
G1,
G3
ToTEM: The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model
Technical Report No. 97
Stephen Murchison,
Andrew Rennison
The authors provide a detailed technical description of the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM), which replaced the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) in December 2005 as the Bank's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E20,
E3,
E30,
E4,
E40,
E5,
E50,
F,
F4,
F41
October 22, 2006
ToTEM: The Bank of Canada's New Projection and Policy-Analysis Model
The Terms-of-Trade Economic Model, or ToTEM, replaced the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) in December 2005 as the Bank's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy. Benefiting from advances in economic modelling and computer power, ToTEM builds on the strengths of QPM, allowing for optimizing behaviour on the part of firms and households, both in and out of steady state, in a multi-product environment. The authors explain the motivation behind the development of ToTEM, provide an overview of the model and its calibration, and present several simulations to illustrate its key properties, concluding with some indications of how the model is expected to evolve going forward.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
October 20, 2006
MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy
Staff projections provided for the Bank of Canada's monetary policy decision process take into account the integration of Canada's very open economy within the global economy, as well as its close real and financial linkages with the United States. To provide inputs for this projection, the Bank has developed several models, including MUSE, NEUQ (the New European Quarterly Model), and BoC-GEM (Bank of Canada Global Economy Model), to analyze and forecast economic developments in the rest of the world. The authors focus on MUSE, the model currently used to describe interaction among the principal U.S. economic variables, including gross domestic product, inflation, interest rates, and the exchange rate. Brief descriptions are also provided of NEUQ and BoC-GEM.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
International topics
Governance and the IMF: Does the Fund Follow Corporate Best Practice?
Staff Working Paper 2006-32
Eric Santor
The governance challenges facing the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are not simply limited to representation and voice, and the associated question of quota allocation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3
The Turning Black Tide: Energy Prices and the Canadian Dollar
Staff Working Paper 2006-29
Ramzi Issa,
Robert Lafrance,
John Murray
The authors revisit the relationship between energy prices and the Canadian dollar in the Amano and van Norden (1995) equation, which shows a negative relationship such that higher real energy prices lead to a depreciation of the Canadian dollar.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31
Can Affine Term Structure Models Help Us Predict Exchange Rates?
Staff Working Paper 2006-27
Antonio Diez de los Rios
The author proposes an arbitrage-free model of the joint behaviour of interest and exchange rates whose exchange rate forecasts outperform those produced by a random-walk model, a vector autoregression on the forward premiums and the rate of depreciation, and the standard forward premium regression.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G12,
G15
Are Average Growth Rate and Volatility Related?
Staff Working Paper 2006-24
Partha Chatterjee,
Malik Shukayev
The empirical relationship between the average growth rate and the volatility of growth rates, both over time and across countries, has important policy implications, which depend critically on the sign of the relationship.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32